We’re trying not to be too optimistic here, but we’re feeling pretty good about how Feb ended up. The dead cat bounce that was January has turned into the mirror image of 2018 – with all asset classes now sitting positive on the year after all finished in the red in 2018. Compared to the craziness that ensued last February, I think we’ll take it. Managed futures finally caught up with the rest of the group following last month’s trend reversal, while stocks, commodities and real estate remain on pace for 60%+ gains on the year (something tells us that won’t happen…). We’ll see what the spring brings:
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Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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Sources: Managed Futures = SocGen CTA Index,
Cash = US T-Bill 13 week coupon equivalent annual rate, with YTD the average of each month’s value,
Bonds = Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (NYSEARCA:BND),
Hedge Funds = IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETF (NYSEARCA:QAI)
Commodities = iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GSG);
Real Estate = iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:IYR);
World Stocks = iShares MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. ETF (NASDAQ:ACWX);
US Stocks = SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY)
All ETF performance data from Morningstar.com