WHEAT
General Comments: Winter Wheat markets were higher yesterday on better demand ideas. The market is also hearing about too wet weather in China and Europe and dry conditions in southern Russia and Kazakhstan. It has been very cold in South America and the winter crops are in trouble in Brazil and Paraguay. The bad weather is coming back as hot and dry conditions are in the forecast for the northern Great Plains and the Canadian Prairies for the next couple of weeks. Even so, Minneapolis was lower as correction trading continued there. White Winter Wheat production is also being hurt as both have been impacted by drought and heat this year. Yield reports have generally been good in Winter Wheat areas but there have been mixed results reported in some Great Plains states. Quality has been generally good. Europe has had too much rain and Russia and Kazakhstan have had too little. Kazakhstan has moved to limit Wheat exports for this year. World prices might have bottomed and should start to move higher, supporting Wheat futures markets in the US.
Overnight News: The southern Great Plains should get scattered showers. Temperatures should be near normal. Northern areas should see mostly isolated showers. Temperatures will be above normal. The Canadian Prairies should see isolated showers. Temperatures should average above normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are up with no objectives. Support is at 694, 676, and 658 September, with resistance at 718, 724, and 748 September. Trends in Kansas City are up with objectives of 681 September. Support is at 649, 645, and 638 September, with resistance at 674, 686, and 692 September. Trends in Minneapolis are up with no objectives. Support is at 897, 859, and 849 September, and resistance is at 948, 954, and 960 September.

RICE:
General Comments: Rice closed higher yesterday. The market expects smaller production this year due to reduced planted area and some weather extremes seen through the growing season to date. Growing conditions have been mixed at best with many areas getting too much rain. Rice areas have generally been wet. Louisiana and parts of Mississippi were saturated and are still reported to be wetter than desired for strong production and good quality. Warm temperatures are reported in Arkansas and Missouri and the crop progress is improving. However, it is still very wet in Arkansas. Texas has also been wet. Export demand has been disappointing and Asian prices are trending lower.
Overnight News: The Delta should get isolated showers. Temperatures should be near to below normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed. Support is at 1319, 1302, and 1298 September, with resistance at 1334, 1340, and 1357 September.

CORN AND OATS:
General Comments: Corn was a little higher as Crude Oil rallied. Corn did not react that much to the big rally in Crude Oil as there were political moves being made to try to end all mandates for bio fuels in Washington. Supporters of the move argue that it is too expensive for refineries to use ethanol in blends. President Biden is committed to using bio fuels including ethanol in the US so the bill is not likely to become law anytime soon. Northern and western Midwest areas and the northern Great Plains are turning hot and dry again. The growing conditions in the US are highly variable and not likely to produce trend line yields. Traders are reducing yield estimates from the USDA report of 179.5 bushels per acre to more like 174 bushels per acre and ideas are that more adverse weather could drive yields lower. No one is talking much about increasing yield estimates right now. Ideas are that Brazil Corn production will be less than 90 million tons so reduced production estimates are expected in coming reports. Oats were higher once again. Canadian Oats areas look to get some rain in the next couple of weeks, but US areas showed mixed conditions in the weekly USDA updates. Longer range forecasts released by NWS call for warmer and drier weather for many important US growing areas this Summer.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed to up with objectives of 584, 599, and 607 September.. Support is at 570, 561, and 549 September, and resistance is at 579, 588, and 598 September. Trends in Oats are up with objectives of 483 September. Support is at 452, 440, and 424 September, and resistance is at 462, 470, and 473 September.

SOYBEANS
General Comments: Soybeans and the products were mixed. Soybean Meal was higher and Soybean Oil was lower. The move in Soybean Oil comes as there were political moves being made to try to end all mandates for bio fuels in Washington. Supporters of the move argue that it is too expensive for refineries to use ethanol in blends. President Biden is committed to using bio fuels including ethanol in the US so the bill is not likely to become law anytime soon. on production concerns as the US weather forecast returned to the forefront. There are many areas that do not have good Soybeans in the US. Soybeans conditions in central production area are often too wet and have suffered. The weather forecasts changed to wetter and cooler and the crop needs dry conditions and some heat . Minnesota and northern Iowa and the Dakotas have been very hot and dry but Iowa got very beneficial rain last week. Forecasts call for warmer weather this week in the Midwest and northern Great Plains, and it should generally be dry. Warmer and drier outlooks are offered through at least the end of this month. The longer range forecasts from NWS call for warmer and drier than normal conditions for most Soybeans areas of the US.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed. Support is at 1425, 1418, and 1408 August, and resistance is at 1450, 1480, and 1492 August. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed. Support is at 358.00, 351.00, and 347.00 August, and resistance is at 371.00, 375.00, and 379.00 August. Trends in Soybean Oil mixed to down with no objectives. Support is at 6380, 6180, and 5940 August, with resistance at 6660, 6820, and 6970

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil futures were higher in sympathy with the rally in Soybean Oil in Chicago and Dalian. Trends are still up on the daily charts. The private surveyors showed more demand for last month in reports issued last week and ideas are that the stronger demand can continue as India has cut its import taxes. Canola closed lower along with Spring Wheat futures and on demand concerns. Trends are still up longer term, but are mixed short term and weather concerns continue. It remains generally dry and is turning warmer in the Prairies. The showers last week have a chance to be very beneficial as the Prairies crops are in big trouble now due to previous hot and dry weather. Demand has improved.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed. Support is at 856.00, 844.00, and 836.00 November, with resistance at 893.00, 932.00, and 949.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed to up with objectives of 4340 October. Support is at 4080, 4000, and 3960 October, with resistance at 4220, 4280, and 4340 October.

DJ Malaysia July 1-25 Palm Oil Exports Down 1.5%, SGS Says
Malaysia’s palm oil exports during the July 1-25 period are estimated down 1.5% on month at 1,150,452 metric tons, cargo surveyor SGS (Malaysia) Bhd. said Tuesday.
The following are the major items in the SGS estimate:
(All figures in metric tons)
July 1-25 June 1-25
RBD Palm Olein 322,160 341,540
RBD Palm Oil 83,225 81,010
RBD Palm Stearin 82,530 80,850
Crude Palm Oil 234,378 278,340
Total* 1,150,452 1,167,989
*Palm oil product volumes don’t add up to total as some products aren’t included
SGS Malaysia is a division of the Switzerland-based Societe Generale de Surveillance Group.

Midwest Weather Forecast: Isolated showers north and west, showers and storms south and east. Temperatures should average near normal.

US Gulf Cash Basis
Corn HRW SRW Soybeans Soybean Meal Soybean Oil
June July May May May
July July July July
Augustg July July July

DJ ICE Canada Cash Grain Close – Jul 21
WINNIPEG — The following are the closing cash
canola prices from ICE Futures.
Source: ICE Futures
Price Basis Contract Change
CANOLA
*Par Region 984.10 75.00 Nov 2021 up 11.00
Basis: Thunder Bay 919.90 40.00 Nov 2021 dn 29.20
Basis: Vancouver 949.90 70.00 Nov 2021 dn 29.20
All prices in Canadian dollars per metric tonne.
*Quote for previous day
Source: Commodity News Service Canada
([email protected], 204-414-9084, or cell
204-782-5944)

DJ Malaysian PM Cash Market Prices for Palm Oil – July 27
The following are prices for Malaysian palm oil in the cash market at 1000 GMT Tuesday, supplied by commodity broker Matthes & Porton Bhd.
Prices are quoted in U.S. dollars a metric ton, except for crude palm oil and palm kernel oil, which are in ringgit a ton. Palm kernel oil prices are in ringgit a pikul, a Malaysian measurement equivalent to 60 kilograms.
Refined, bleached and deodorized palm oil, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 1167.50 +20.00 Unquoted – –
Sept 1147.50 +120.00 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 1067.50 +20.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 997.50 +15.00 Unquoted – –
RBD palm olein, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 1170.00 +20.00 Unquoted – –
Sept 1150.00 +120.00 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 1070.00 +20.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 1000.00 +15.00 Unquoted – –
RBD palm stearin, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 1105.00 +15.00 Unquoted – –
Palm Fatty Acid Distillate, FOB Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 1055.00 +15.00 Unquoted – –
Crude palm oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 4,720.00 +70.00 Unquoted – –
Palm kernel oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Aug 315.00 +09.00 Unquoted – –
($1=MYR4.231)

DJ China Dalian Grain Futures Closing Prices, Volume – Jul 27
Soybean No. 1
Turnover: 262,055 lots, or 15.04 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-21 5,710 5,786 5,637 5,742 5,688 5,719 31 184,506 80,805
Nov-21 5,705 5,825 5,687 5,779 5,730 5,770 40 28,105 83,183
Jan-22 5,759 5,850 5,716 5,806 5,753 5,784 31 20,448 30,249
Mar-22 5,750 5,854 5,717 5,803 5,765 5,801 36 18,756 15,865
May-22 5,814 5,892 5,763 5,851 5,815 5,829 14 335 1,132
Jul-22 5,770 5,891 5,752 5,844 5,811 5,833 22 9,905 2,713
Corn
Turnover: 910,612 lots, or 23.32 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-21 2,548 2,582 2,533 2,577 2,541 2,558 17 638,287 543,865
Nov-21 2,540 2,572 2,536 2,569 2,536 2,553 17 63,247 246,424
Jan-22 2,550 2,581 2,548 2,579 2,550 2,565 15 149,567 272,800
Mar-22 2,566 2,600 2,558 2,593 2,557 2,575 18 52,639 56,310
May-22 2,587 2,618 2,586 2,618 2,584 2,601 17 3,994 17,025
Jul-22 2,606 2,631 2,601 2,628 2,596 2,617 21 2,878 3,460
Soymeal
Turnover: 1,336,632 lots, or 46.97 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Aug-21 3,505 3,555 3,505 3,549 3,498 3,536 38 14 725
Sep-21 3,512 3,550 3,489 3,533 3,530 3,524 -6 782,014 912,712
Nov-21 3,530 3,626 3,518 3,559 3,563 3,551 -12 47,477 61,524
Dec-21 3,523 3,573 3,515 3,559 3,549 3,546 -3 14,795 31,473
Jan-22 3,495 3,547 3,485 3,530 3,522 3,522 0 412,683 690,346
Mar-22 3,367 3,408 3,350 3,395 3,380 3,381 1 30,155 270,550
May-22 3,319 3,336 3,273 3,322 3,286 3,308 22 44,764 125,793
Jul-22 3,278 3,332 3,264 3,316 3,270 3,296 26 4,730 7,140
Palm Oil
Turnover: 966,778 lots, or 81.26 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Aug-21 8,906 8,906 8,894 8,894 8,666 8,902 236 5 9
Sep-21 8,430 8,596 8,386 8,536 8,304 8,496 192 800,295 441,271
Oct-21 8,160 8,372 8,160 8,312 8,092 8,268 176 13,622 36,423
Nov-21 8,080 8,226 8,024 8,166 7,956 8,116 160 9,206 38,670
Dec-21 7,920 8,118 7,920 8,068 7,844 8,042 198 8,807 56,814
Jan-22 7,844 8,016 7,826 7,966 7,756 7,934 178 118,522 127,386
Feb-22 7,758 7,950 7,758 7,908 7,696 7,878 182 4,633 8,515
Mar-22 7,724 7,902 7,724 7,852 7,656 7,834 178 6,238 4,286
Apr-22 7,654 7,790 7,636 7,726 7,568 7,710 142 4,083 3,318
May-22 7,532 7,640 7,512 7,594 7,464 7,596 132 1,327 5,253
Jun-22 7,466 7,466 7,438 7,438 7,384 7,450 66 12 30
Jul-22 7,420 7,550 7,398 7,448 7,372 7,442 70 28 51
Soybean Oil
Turnover: 887,770 lots, or 80.38 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Aug-21 9,190 9,190 8,640 8,640 8,870 8,914 44 2 31
Sep-21 8,998 9,186 8,964 9,156 8,926 9,096 170 738,332 395,965
Nov-21 8,928 9,072 8,866 9,042 8,832 8,980 148 23,952 49,671
Dec-21 8,802 9,010 8,796 8,996 8,756 8,924 168 13,910 70,872
Jan-22 8,736 8,916 8,704 8,892 8,680 8,834 154 97,705 184,218
Mar-22 8,566 8,764 8,552 8,732 8,534 8,680 146 10,311 21,122
May-22 8,324 8,520 8,310 8,500 8,324 8,460 136 1,835 6,175
Jul-22 8,264 8,430 8,244 8,412 8,228 8,316 88 1,723 4,330
Notes:
1) Unit is Chinese yuan a metric ton;
2) Ch. is day’s settlement minus previous settlement;
3) Volume and open interest are in lots;
4) One lot is equivalent to 10 metric tons.