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BRIEF-Allendale Inc survey puts U.S. corn yield at 178.28 bu/acre – Reuters News
02-Sep-2020 10:20:57 AM
To view this story on Refinitiv Workspace, click here
CHICAGO, Sept 2 (Reuters) – A farmer survey conducted by agricultural commodity brokerage and analysis firm Allendale Inc forecast the U.S. 2020 corn yield at 178.28 bushels per acre, the company said on Wednesday.
• The survey forecast the 2020 U.S. soybean yield at 51.93 bushels per acre.
• Allendale projected 2020 U.S. corn production at 14.980 billion bushels and soybean production at 4.311 billion bushels.
• The yield survey, conducted from Aug. 17-28, was based on producer-calculated yields in 27 states covering 87% of corn production and 85% of soybean production.

DJ Global Food Prices Rise for Third Consecutive Month -UN FAO
By Will Horner
Global food prices rose for a third consecutive month in August, as demand continued to strengthen after the blow of the coronavirus, aided by a weaker dollar, the United Nation’s Food and Agriculture Organization said Thursday.
The FAO’s monthly food price index–which tracks a basket of the most common foodstuffs such as grains, vegetable oils and meat–rose 2% from July to 96.1 last month. That was its highest level since the early days of the pandemic in February 2020.
The increase was largely driven by a rise in sugar and vegetable-oil prices, while cereal prices also rose slightly but meat and dairy product prices were unchanged, the FAO said.
The rise continues a trend of rebounding food prices following a sharp drop this year due to the coronavirus. Food prices, as measured by the FAO, fell for four consecutive months at the start of the year as food supply was slow to adjust to the pandemic’s sharp hit to demand.
The FAO’s sugar price sub-index, which makes up a part of the overall index, rose 6.7% due to poor growing conditions in the European Union and Thailand and strong demand in China.
The vegetable oil sub-index rose 5.9% on a combination of disruption to palm oil production and import demand.
The cereal sub-index rose 1.9%, while sub-indexes tracking meat and dairy prices were largely unchanged.

DJ U.S. Export Sales: Weekly Sales Totals – Sep 3
For the week ended Aug 27, in thousand metric tons, except cotton in
thousand running bales. Net changes in commitments are gross sales,
less cancellations, buy-backs and other downward adjustments. Total
commitments are total export shipments plus total sales.
The marketing year for wheat and barley began Jun 1, cotton and
and rice Aug 1, corn, soybeans and sorghum Sep 1, and soymeal and
soyoil Oct 1. Source: USDA
wk’s net chg total
in commitments commitments undlvd sales
this yr next yr this yr last yr this yr next yr
wheat 585.4 0.0 12463.7 11395.4 5930.7 16.9
hrw 219.3 0.0 4712.6 4305.4 1863.1 10.9
srw 4.1 0.0 1088.6 1443.8 626.8 1.0
hrs 248.0 0.0 3703.3 3171.6 1984.5 5.0
white 91.0 0.0 2472.0 1986.5 1182.4 0.0
durum 23.0 0.0 487.2 488.1 273.9 0.0
corn 95.8 2389.1 44587.5 49934.9 1965.3 15773.2
soybeans 88.1 1762.8 47511.9 48782.7 3517.5 24185.9
soymeal 113.7 228.8 12158.9 12046.4 1238.6 1537.6
soyoil 4.9 3.0 1272.9 891.6 138.3 105.0
upland cotton 131.5 0.0 6983.2 8247.6 5731.7 329.1
pima cotton 17.3 0.0 225.2 154.5 188.8 0.0
sorghum 11.9 126.5 4637.1 1726.6 107.9 2284.1
barley 0.0 0.0 39.2 57.4 30.8 0.0
rice 13.4 0.0 465.8 1024.8 336.0 0.0

DJ U.S. July Grain Exports-Sep 3
In kilograms (top) and in bushels (bottom), except flour in cwt and malt
in pounds. /1 denotes includes commercial and donated. Source: U.S. Department
of Commerce.
(*)NOTE: Year ago figures reflect data reported at that time.
Data includes Exports and Re-Exports.
——- In Kilograms ——-
Jul 20 Jun 20 May 20 Jul 19
Barley 6,180,000 2,047,000 2,188,097 5,650,340
Corn /1 4,343,711,000 5,035,249,000 5,700,116,000 2,882,194,000
Sorghum 361,560,000 576,822,000 809,404,000 160,368,000
Oats 3,309,254 1,926,717 2,463,472 2,042,983
Rye 1,543,800 885,579 989,810 151,100
Wheat /1 2,367,853,459 2,283,170,928 2,347,780,373 1,943,232,013
wheat flour /1 22,946,849 23,776,786 22,937,338 23,524,471
Malt 22,830,290 18,055,175 15,901,428 29,026,195
——- In Bushels, CWT or Pounds ——-
Jul 20 Jun 20 May 20 Jul 19
Barley 283,842 94,017 100,497 259,515
Corn /1 171,002,593 198,226,963 224,401,352 113,465,801
Sorghum 14,233,842 22,708,246 31,864,501 6,313,344
Oats 227,987 132,739 169,718 140,749
Rye 60,776 34,863 38,967 5,948
Wheat /1 87,002,828 83,891,310 86,265,276 71,400,821
wheat flour /1 505,891 524,188 505,682 518,626
Malt 50,332,182 39,804,854 35,056,654 63,991,817
1/Includes commercial and donated.

DJ U.S. July Oilseed, Meal, Oils/Fats Exports-Sep 3
In kilograms (top). Oils in pounds, soybeans in bushels, meal and hulls in
short tons (bottom). Source: U.S. Department of Commerce.
(*)NOTE: Year ago figures reflect data reported at that time.
Data includes Exports and Re-Exports.
——- In Kilograms ——-
Jul 20 Jun 20 May 20 Jul 19
soybeans 2,216,244,275 1,799,783,106 1,966,536,425 3,680,451,200
soyoil 74,696,500 76,056,294 162,305,113 79,071,812
crude 64,323,622 64,082,208 146,282,800 68,326,636
refined 65,902 46,033 1,013,597 60,647
other/1 10,097,162 11,542,108 14,692,479 10,413,526
hydrogenated 209,814 385,945 316,237 271,003
cottonseed oil 2,097,466 2,460,270 2,232,495 1,411,674
crude 5,470 5,059 32,663 0
refined 1,148,627 1,078,630 1,009,843 671,731
other/1 943,369 1,376,581 1,189,989 739,943
hydrogenated 0 0 0 0
sunseeds 39,923 102,264 60,174 3,559,356
sunseed oil 3,546,897 3,197,273 3,926,423 3,923,345
rapeseed 11,334,442 7,979,912 3,332,602 13,022,019
rapeseed oil 10,156,519 14,442,004 8,846,553 8,296,136
crude 2,813,289 8,717,839 1,010,722 3,457,492
refined 7,343,230 5,724,165 7,835,831 4,838,644
linseed meal 141,404 69,199 233,169 0
cottonseed meal 4,636,911 8,604,008 6,731,589 7,131,502
soymeal 790,828,268 823,935,074 741,211,036 716,627,482
soymeal/flour 241,385,024 237,186,756 235,502,689 85,008,540
soymeal hulls 7,915,000 10,583,000 16,721,000 22,254,000
lard 1,222,638 1,088,778 460,435 1,587,791
edible tallow 8,292,366 9,107,179 9,976,092 9,228,080
inedible tallow 16,320,169 17,423,721 23,625,363 22,259,805
ch white grease 23,902 77,792 0 0
——- In Bushels, Pounds or Short Tons ——-
Jul 20 Jun 20 May 20 Jul 19
soybeans 81,432,201 66,130,030 72,257,103 135,232,044
soyoil 164,677,622 167,675,455 357,821,585 174,323,535
crude 141,809,337 141,277,110 322,498,425 150,634,473
refined 145,289 101,485 2,234,599 133,704
other/1 22,260,436 25,445,997 32,391,377 22,957,899
hydrogenated 462,561 850,863 697,183 597,459
cottonseed oil 4,624,122 5,423,968 4,921,810 3,112,209
crude 12,059 11,153 72,010 0
refined 2,532,290 2,377,973 2,226,323 1,480,914
other/1 2,079,773 3,034,842 2,623,477 1,631,295
hydrogenated 0 0 0 0
sunseeds 88,015 225,454 132,661 7,847,038
sunseed oil 7,819,571 7,048,782 8,656,282 8,649,497
rapeseed 24,988,172 17,592,698 7,347,131 28,708,643
rapeseed oil 22,391,295 31,839,174 19,503,314 18,289,852
crude 6,202,242 19,219,548 2,228,261 7,622,466
refined 16,189,054 12,619,626 17,275,053 10,667,386
linseed meal 156 76 257 0
cottonseed meal 5,111 9,484 7,420 7,861
soymeal 871,730 908,224 817,037 789,938
soymeal flour/me 266,079 261,451 259,595 93,705
soymeal hulls 8,725 11,666 18,432 24,531
lard 2,695,456 2,400,345 1,015,086 3,500,481
edible tallow 18,281,541 20,077,896 21,993,522 20,344,437
inedible tallow 35,979,820 38,412,736 52,085,019 49,074,478
ch white grease 52,695 171,502 0 0

DJ U.S. July Soymeal, Vegetable Oils/Oilseed-Sep 3
In kilograms from the U.S. Commerce Department, converted to pounds
by Dow Jones.
—-Jul 2020—- —-Jun 2020—-
kilograms pounds kilograms pounds
coconut oil 46,540,470 102,621,736 29,429,369 64,891,759
palm kernel oil 32,621,570 71,930,562 33,979,589 74,924,994
palm oil 98,986,215 218,264,604 136,825,237 301,699,648
soybean 45,594,886 100,536,724 42,552,046 93,827,261
soymeal 0 0 0 0
soyoil 12,557,659 27,689,638 11,426,440 25,195,300
rapeseed oil
edible 151,623,334 334,329,451 148,021,664 326,387,769
rapeseed oil,
inedible 1 2 0 0

DJ U.S. July Grain Imports-Sep 3
In kilograms, from the U.S. Commerce Department, converted to
pounds by Dow Jones.
—-Jul 2020—- —-Jun 2020—-
kilograms pounds kilograms pounds
durum wheat 215,417 474,994 0 0
spring wheat 4,217,744 9,300,126 6,260,185 13,803,708
winter wheat 1,960,738 4,323,427 1,648,783 3,635,567
wheat/meslin 60,893,667 134,270,536 26,246,137 57,872,732
TOTAL WHEAT 67,287,566 148,369,083 34,155,105 75,312,007
barley 1,981,885 4,370,056 3,604,929 7,948,868
oats 466,597 1,028,846 195,869 431,891
corn 40,572,230 89,461,767 22,730,295 50,120,300
other corn 3,677,174 8,108,169 4,063,296 8,959,568
TOTAL CORN 44,249,404 97,569,936 26,793,591 59,079,868

DJ CBOT Delivery Intentions: Totals – Sep 3
Source: CME Group
Contract Quantity Next Trade
Commodity Month Delivery Day Assigned Today Date Available
SOYBEAN MEAL September Sep. 04, 2020 86 Sep 01, 2020
KC HRW WHEAT September Sep. 04, 2020 58 Aug 20, 2020
SOYBEAN September Sep. 04, 2020 12 Aug 24, 2020
WHEAT September Sep. 04, 2020 11 Aug 28, 2020

WHEAT
General Comments: Winter Wheat markets were lower in the Chicago Winter Wheat markets. Minneapolis Spring Wheat were a little higher, but encountered producer selling to close with small gains. Trends in the Winter Wheat markets have been up. The market is still reacting to which way Wheat prices are going here and overseas, with Black Se prices higher yesterday. Spring Wheat continues to develop under good growing conditions in both the US and Canada. Harvest has expanded and yield reports are solid in the northern Plains. It is still dry in France and Russia and now Spring Wheat areas of Russia are being affected. Russian Winter Wheat yields have improved over time as harvesters move into areas that had better growing conditions. Australia remains in good condition and is getting rains. About half of the Argentine Wheat belt is too dry and wire reports indicate that production in the worst areas could be 50% of normal.
Overnight News: The southern Great Plains should get scattered showers. Temperatures should be above normal. Northern areas should see isolated showers. Temperatures will average near to above normal. The Canadian Prairies should see isolated showers. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are up with objectives of 574 December. Support is at 554, 547, and 543 December, with resistance at 570, 571, and 574 December. Trends in Kansas City are up with objectives of 502 December. Support is at 475, 469, and 465 December, with resistance at 490, 495, and 504 December. Trends in Minneapolis are up with objectives of 565 December. Support is at 545, 543, and 535 December, and resistance is at 549, 554, and 556 December.

RICE
General Comments: Rice was higher in nearby months and near unchanged in deferred months. The market is looking for some Rice for spot delivery and is not finding enough offers in the cash market. The damage from Laura was intense near the Gulf Coast but most if not all of the Rice had already been harvested. The storm diminished quickly and little damage was reported in Mississippi, Arkansas, of Missouri. Storms through Arkansas now from the north brought no damaging weather. New crop prospects still appear solid for increased production in the coming year. The area is larger and the growing conditions are mostly good. The crops are called in good condition in Mississippi, Arkansas, and Missouri. Harvest is about to begin in these states. Texas and southern Louisiana field yield reports are strong. Quality is called average to above average.
Overnight News: The Delta should get big rains from Laura and Marco. Temperatures should be near to above normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed. Support is at 1220, 1204, and 1192 November, with resistance at 1245, 1260, and 1267 November.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn was slightly higher on fund buying. Producers and commercials were the best sellers. It was a mostly dry day in the Midwest yesterday. The next round of showers is not expected until next week, but the showers should be positive for final development of whatever Corn is still out there. Much of the Iowa and northern Illinois Corn is getting mature and shutting down and this Corn will not get helped by any precipitation anymore. There is a crop out there and it will be harvested soon. That means that seasonal harvest pressure should be seen in this market in the near future.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed. Support is at 354, 348, and 345 December, and resistance is at 362, 363, and 364 December. Trends in Oats are up with objectives of 283 and 294 December. Support is at 273, 271, and 268 December, and resistance is at 279, 283, and 286 December.

The USDA said 424 mil bu of corn was used for fuel alcohol in July, up from 379,000 mil a month ago and 451 mil last year.
—DDGS production in July was 1.864 mt versus 1.664 mt last month and 1.986 mt a year ago

SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS
General Comments: Soybeans and Soybean Oil were mostly higher on fund buying. Soybean Meal closed a little lower. There is no rain in the forecast now util next week. The change in the weather pattern should help the Soybeans on their way to maturity although the rains will be too late for a good part of the crop. Some crops are mature already and are dropping leaves. Cooler temperatures are seen behind the front, but it was the rain that was most important. The weather will start to lose its bullish influence on prices in the next few weeks and the harvesters get ready to roll.
Overnight News: USDA said that 318,000 tons of US Soybeans were sold to unknown destinations and another 132,000 tons of US Soybeans were sold to China,
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed to up with no objectives. Support is at 943, 940, and 920 November, and resistance is at 968, 976, and 980 November. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed to up with no objectives. Support is at 302.00, 298.00, and 292.00 October, and resistance is at 309.00, 312.00, and 315.00 October. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed. Support is at 3250, 3190, and 3150 October, with resistance at 3390, 3430, and 3460 October.

The USDA July soybean crush was pegged at 184.5 mil bu (estimate was 183 mil bu) versus 177 mil a month ago and 179 mil last year
—Soyoil stocks were 2.124 bil lbs (estimate was 2.131 bil) versus 2.271 bil last month and 2.040 bil a year ago
—Soymeal stocks were 412,000t versus 420,000t last month and 345,000t a year ago

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil closed higher on ideas of lower production in Malaysia and Indonesia. Flooding and a lack of workers for the plantations have been the reasons to see less production in Malaysia. Palm Oil has been hoping for better demand from importers as world economies slowly open after being closed by the Coronavirus epidemic. Indonesia continues to focus its Palm Oil on internal demand for bio fuels. Canola closed higher and at two year highs for the front month contract. Crop conditions are mostly good and farmers have been selling old crop supplies. The weather has been warm and most areas have seen rain.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are up with objectives of 511.00 and 521.00 November. Support is at 494.00, 491.00, and 490.00 November, with resistance at 505.00, 508.00, and 511.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are up with objectives of 2950 and 3140 November. Support is at 2760, 2700, and 2650 November, with resistance at 2880, 2910, and 2940 November.

Midwest Weather Forecast: Mostly dry in all areas today. Temperatures should average near normal

US Gulf Cash Basis
Corn HRW SRW Soybeans Soybean Meal Soybean Oil
September +49 Sep +139 Dec +55 Sep +74 Nov +15 Dec N/A
October +52 Dec +65 Dec +69 Nov
November +59 Dec +65 Dec +74 Nov

DJ ICE Canada Cash Grain Close – Sep 2
WINNIPEG, Sept. 2 (MarketsFarm) – The following are the closing cash
canola prices from ICE Futures. Source: ICE Futures
Price Basis Contract Change
CANOLA
*Par Region 465.00 -36.00 Nov 2020 up 1.80
Basis: Thunder Bay 515.50 12.00 Nov 2020 up 2.40
Basis: Vancouver 528.50 25.00 Nov 2020 up 2.40
All prices in Canadian dollars per metric ton.

DJ Malaysian PM Cash Market Prices for Palm Oil – Sept 3
The following are prices for Malaysian palm oil in the cash market at 1000 GMT Thursday, supplied by commodity broker Matthes & Porton Bhd.
Prices are quoted in U.S. dollars a metric ton, except for crude palm oil and palm kernel oil, which are in ringgit a ton. Palm kernel oil prices are in ringgit a pikul, a Malaysian measurement equivalent to 60 kilograms.
Refined, bleached and deodorized palm oil, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Sept 752.50 +20.00 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 730.00 +25.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 707.50 +17.50 Unquoted – –
Apr/May/Jun 692.50 +12.50 Unquoted – –
RBD palm olein, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Sept 755.00 +20.00 Unquoted – –
Oct/Nov/Dec 732.50 +25.00 Unquoted – –
Jan/Feb/Mar 710.00 +17.50 Unquoted – –
Apr/May/Jun 695.00 +12.50 Unquoted – –
RBD palm stearin, FOB, Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Sept 755.00 +25.00 Unquoted – –
Palm Fatty Acid Distillate, FOB Malaysian ports
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Sept 670.00 +15.00 Unquoted – –
Crude palm oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Sept 3,000.00 +80.00 Unquoted – –
Palm kernel oil, Delivered Basis, South Malaysia
Offer Change Bid Change Traded
Sept 193.00 +05.00 Unquoted – –
($1=MYR4.1420)

DJ China Dalian Grain Futures Closing Prices, Volume – Sep 03
Soybean No. 1
Turnover: 163,124 lots, or 7.20 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-20 4,720 4,789 4,720 4,787 4,750 4,743 -7 94 2,094
Nov-20 4,358 4,422 4,358 4,375 4,387 4,392 5 3,082 2,461
Jan-21 4,408 4,443 4,388 4,402 4,420 4,414 -6 155,649 129,096
Mar-21 4,448 4,478 4,418 4,434 4,446 4,443 -3 2,245 4,207
May-21 4,473 4,495 4,450 4,460 4,471 4,470 -1 1,252 4,855
Jul-21 4,476 4,497 4,445 4,464 4,470 4,472 2 802 1,198
Corn
Turnover: 786,923 lots, or 17.99 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-20 2,235 2,240 2,230 2,230 2,234 2,235 1 170 1,729
Nov-20 2,259 2,262 2,242 2,251 2,259 2,252 -7 54,074 27,973
Jan-21 2,290 2,290 2,270 2,275 2,285 2,278 -7 565,633 1,200,068
Mar-21 2,315 2,315 2,295 2,304 2,311 2,305 -6 18,717 19,957
May-21 2,326 2,326 2,306 2,314 2,320 2,314 -6 96,641 378,671
Jul-21 2,348 2,350 2,332 2,341 2,346 2,342 -4 51,688 57,569
Soymeal
Turnover: 1,069,033 lots, or 31.12 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-20 2,930 2,951 2,912 2,912 2,938 2,941 3 1,563 1,539
Nov-20 2,920 2,942 2,910 2,915 2,925 2,925 0 34,540 75,523
Dec-20 2,917 2,946 2,915 2,920 2,931 2,930 -1 3,111 2,720
Jan-21 2,938 2,959 2,925 2,933 2,941 2,942 1 773,760 1,357,088
Mar-21 2,832 2,857 2,824 2,840 2,836 2,844 8 9,930 14,184
May-21 2,799 2,823 2,790 2,810 2,802 2,809 7 213,913 787,400
Jul-21 2,816 2,845 2,808 2,827 2,817 2,826 9 28,699 9,922
Aug-21 2,840 2,870 2,834 2,859 2,848 2,856 8 3,517 2,975
Palm Oil
Turnover: 983,629 lots, or 58.57 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-20 6,372 6,372 6,370 6,370 6,190 6,370 180 52 39
Oct-20 6,124 6,250 6,090 6,174 6,068 6,176 108 2,944 2,800
Nov-20 6,022 6,138 5,978 6,090 5,962 6,074 112 7,638 5,545
Dec-20 5,906 6,040 5,882 5,984 5,882 5,982 100 1,787 885
Jan-21 5,892 6,038 5,858 5,946 5,866 5,954 88 911,361 463,292
Feb-21 5,898 5,992 5,830 5,918 5,830 5,944 114 35,777 7,580
Mar-21 5,854 5,964 5,814 5,918 5,808 5,920 112 1,966 1,020
Apr-21 5,892 5,892 5,892 5,892 5,664 5,892 228 1 152
May-21 5,780 5,916 5,748 5,832 5,752 5,840 88 22,103 46,278
Jun-21 – – – 5,774 5,774 5,774 0 0 2
Jul-21 – – – 5,788 5,788 5,788 0 0 5
Aug-21 – – – 5,802 5,732 5,802 70 0 0
Soybean Oil
Turnover: 831,106 lots, or 56.14 billion yuan
Open High Low Close Prev. Settle Ch. Vol Open
Settle Interest
Sep-20 6,640 6,738 6,640 6,738 6,660 6,742 82 401 2,038
Nov-20 6,700 6,824 6,670 6,760 6,674 6,772 98 21,574 6,880
Dec-20 6,684 6,820 6,666 6,752 6,666 6,786 120 1,082 749
Jan-21 6,694 6,840 6,672 6,772 6,676 6,770 94 706,636 586,342
Mar-21 6,670 6,800 6,646 6,758 6,638 6,756 118 17,584 4,840
May-21 6,534 6,680 6,518 6,630 6,534 6,622 88 64,754 141,159
Jul-21 6,462 6,608 6,454 6,562 6,446 6,560 114 19,055 3,845
Aug-21 6,454 6,614 6,454 6,536 6,452 6,568 116 20 17
Notes:
1) Unit is Chinese yuan a metric ton;
2) Ch. is day’s settlement minus previous settlement;
3) Volume and open interest are in lots;
4) One lot is equivalent to 10 metric tons.


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