Private Equity
Blue Sky Capital Resources Insights - Thoughts On The Markets
July 2020
This summer will be an important time to give us clues regarding how the economic recovery will progress. Two important two reasons, one, unemployment insurance payments will fall off and two, temporary stimulus measures will run off as well at the end of July. This is when we should see to what extent there will be re-hiring from the temporary layoff pool. From this point the employment data will take a more important meaning for the future.
Thus far the extra income (from MMT) has gone mostly into savings (U.S. savings rate up to +13%), this extra income will disappear in August, question: will the renewed consumer confidence turn into real demand?
August will also be important in terms of COVID-19 developments. While all the experts are anticipating a second wave, how big it will be is an unknown. For those countries being the first impacted by COVID-19 we are seeing a second wave, thankfully thus far it has been manageable. Let’s see how the U.S. manages.
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