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FON Newsletter - A Little Secret Regarding Profits Growth
Many years ago, Digital Equipment, the second largest computer manufacturer after IBM in the early 1990s was increasing its profits every year, but the stock did not go up in four years. Why? Its P/E was contracting during that four-year period. Why? The rate of profits growth was decelerating.
Let’s consider the implications of contracting profits growth in the context of taking compounding into account. A stock growing its profits at a 40% annual clip drops to a 35% rate which most investors are still comfortable with because it is still a lot faster than corporate profits growth of approximately 7% a year.
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