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Structural tailwinds and re-allocation of capital to drive growth in alternative real estate

Reported by Jll
Jan 16, 2023· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • JLL projects the Australian Build-to-Rent (BTR) sector at $5.4 billion in completed and under-construction assets, with an additional $10 billion approved or in planning, signaling substantial near-term growth trajectory for the living sector.
  • • Global investors are increasingly allocating capital to "living sectors"—including BTR, Purpose-Built Student Accommodation (PBSA), co-living, senior living, and specialty disability accommodation—driven by housing supply shortages, strong rental dynamics, and inflationary pressures.
  • • Construction cost delays are redirecting near-term capital flows away from BTR development toward operational living assets, prompting mid-sized fund managers to pursue immediate-access portfolios through PBSA acquisition and specialist accommodation conversion opportunities.
  • • Investment volumes into alternative real estate sectors have remained elevated by historical standards since 2019, with structural tailwinds from demographic shifts, chronic housing shortages, and capital reallocation positioning living categories as enduring portfolio pillars.
Summary
JLL's 2023 Alternatives Investment Outlook identifies the "living sectors" as a primary growth driver for alternative real estate, capitalizing on structural market advantages including severe housing supply constraints and elevated rental demand. According to David Hill, JLL's Senior Director of Alternative Investments, global capital increasingly recognizes the rental resilience of living assets, particularly in inflationary environments where dynamic pricing models enable operators to maintain margin durability.

The Australian BTR sector exemplifies this opportunity, currently valued at $5.4 billion across completed and under-construction assets. JLL's research identifies an additional $10 billion in approved or planning-stage inventory, establishing a clearly defined multi-year pipeline. This two-tiered asset base—operational and development-stage—creates differentiated entry points for institutional capital with varying risk-return profiles and liquidity timelines.

Near-term capital allocation patterns are shifting materially due to construction cost inflation. Rising development expenses are delaying operational BTR asset deliveries, prompting institutional investors to pursue immediately productive living alternatives. Purpose-Built Student Accommodation (PBSA), co-living platforms, and senior living assets now serve as primary vehicles for achieving rapid operational scale. Mid-sized fund managers are concurrently exploring acquisition-based living strategies encompassing Specialist Disability Accommodation (SDA) conversions and other built stock repurposing opportunities, circumventing development cycle exposure.

The broader investment backdrop reflects sustained capital elevation into alternative real estate since 2019, underpinned by persistent structural tailwinds: demographic cohort evolution, chronic housing shortage dynamics, and technological maturation across new property sectors. These secular drivers position living investments as enduring portfolio components rather than cyclical allocations, supporting the mainstreaming of alternative property sectors into institutional allocation frameworks.

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Jll Structural tailwinds and re-allocation of capital to drive growth in alternative real estate