Key Takeaways
- • ARK Invest reaffirmed its long-term Bitcoin price target of $1 million by 2030 in its 2026 crypto outlook, despite a subdued year for prices.
- • ARK raised its total addressable market estimate for Bitcoin as digital gold by 37%, while cutting its estimate of Bitcoin's safe-haven use in emerging markets by 80% due to stablecoin growth.
- • ARK maintains a forecast of a $28 trillion digital asset market by 2030, with Bitcoin holding roughly 70% of that market.
- • ARK views stablecoins as complementary to Bitcoin rather than competitive, a framing that shapes its view of Bitcoin's dual role as digital gold and permissionless money.
- • Pluang market data as of Oct 14, 2026 showed 15 of 50 major cryptocurrencies rising and 34 falling on the platform.
Summary
Within its revised framework, ARK raised the total addressable market for Bitcoin as digital gold by 37%. At the same time, it cut its estimate of Bitcoin's safe-haven use in emerging markets by 80%, a reduction the firm attributes to stablecoin growth. ARK maintains its forecast of a $28 trillion digital asset market by 2030, with Bitcoin accounting for about 70% of that total.
Pluang's market data as of Oct 14, 2026 at 04:32 WIB showed mixed trading across major digital assets. Of 50 major cryptocurrencies listed on the platform, 15 rose and 34 fell. COTI traded at Rp224, down 4.35%, with 75% buy order activity; ZIL was at Rp62, down 3.77%, with 99% sell order activity; and CRV stood at Rp6,124, down 3.76%, with 59% buy activity. Typical hold times across these assets ranged from 62 to 133 days.
The $1 million target is not universally shared among ARK's own prior projections. Coverage in the publisher's database notes that Cathie Wood previously cited a $1.5 million target and has since revised it to $1.2 million, a reduction of $300,000 attributed to stablecoins' growing market role. Other reports cite a $1.25 million or $1.36 million figure, underscoring that the firm's published targets have varied across communications. Readers should treat these figures as reported rather than as a single consolidated ARK position.
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