Key Takeaways
- • Bitcoin broke below a roughly two-week trading floor of $80,600-$80,900, falling to around $79,300 before buyers stepped in, and was trading near $80,100 at the time of the article.
- • The former support zone at $80,600-$81,000 is now viewed as resistance, and price has been making lower highs, which the author reads as buyers not yet being in control.
- • Key levels to watch are a rejection scenario that retests $79,100-$79,300, and a reclaim scenario that requires a close and hold above $81,000 with a move toward $82,000.
- • The author takes no position between levels and is waiting for price reaction at the zones above.
Summary
The author highlights several technical concerns. The broken floor at $80,600-$81,000 now functions as a ceiling, a common pattern when broken support is retested from below. Price has also continued to print lower highs, which the author interprets as evidence that buyers do not yet control the market. Above current levels, a supply zone around $81,500-$82,000 could further limit upside.
The piece outlines two scenarios. In a rejection case, a failed move into $80,600-$81,000 would likely lead to another test of the $79,100-$79,300 area, and a clean break below that band would bring the recent low into play. In a reclaim case, a close above $81,000 that holds would suggest the breakdown was a trap, opening the path toward $82,000.
The author states a personal view, presented for educational purposes, and says they are staying out of the market between these levels. The article is a discretionary technical analysis commentary and does not include fund flow, institutional positioning, or fundamental data.
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