Key Takeaways
- • Ethereum (ETH/USD) reached $2,804 on September 21 and fell to $2,323, breaking below the $2,427–$2,358 warning zone, according to Investing.com's Elliott Wave analysis.
- • The analysis argues a larger corrective Wave-ii has most likely begun, with a three-wave bounce ideally to $2,625 ±50 followed by a decline toward $2,150 ±100.
- • The author states the bull market is confirmed by five waves up from the July 1 low, with a long-term target of at least $6,250 and $9,000+ considered more likely.
- • Key levels cited: about $4,150 as the breakout confirmation and about $2,425 as a warning level if the breakout fails.
Summary
The analysis projects that the decline from the September 21 high comprised five waves forming the larger Wave W-a. The corrective Wave-ii is expected to be a zigzag, which the author expects to unfold as a three-wave bounce to an ideal $2,625 ±50, followed by a five-wave decline to an ideal $2,150 ±100. The author notes this target sits at the upper end of the ideal Wave-ii retracement zone of 50% to 76.4% of the prior Wave-i.
On a longer time horizon, the author states that the bull market is confirmed, as five waves are now complete from the July 1 low. Ethereum is described as having spent almost five years in a complex consolidation that evolved into a multi-year bull flag or triangle. The article cites monthly RSI moving back out of a "low risk buy zone" that previously marked cycle turns. The next major target is at least $6,250, though $9,000+ is described as more likely.
The article identifies two monthly levels as decision points: a close above roughly $4,150 would confirm the larger breakout, while a failure below roughly $2,425 would be a serious warning. The source is a technical analysis piece based on StockCharts.com chart work and does not include fund flow, regulatory, or institutional allocation data.
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