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Fund tracking inverse of bitcoin futures hits all-time low as cryptocurrency rallies

Reported by Reuters
Oct 24, 2023· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • ProShares Short Bitcoin Strategy ETF (inverse bitcoin futures fund) hit an all-time low of $16.18 on October 24, 2023, declining nearly 10% in early trading as bitcoin rallied during the period.
  • • The fund has lost 59.3% year-to-date, reflecting the sustained cryptocurrency uptrend that punishes bearish positions embedded in inverse products.
  • • Multiple inverse bitcoin ETF products have launched to allow institutional and retail investors to short bitcoin futures without the operational complexity and costs of direct shorting, including offerings from Horizons ETF (ticker BITI) and CSOP Asset Management.
  • • Short crypto ETF positions represent a structural headwind in a rallying market, with investors betting on cryptocurrency declines facing mounting losses as digital assets appreciate.
Summary
The ProShares Short Bitcoin Strategy ETF, designed to profit from declining bitcoin futures prices, reached a record low on October 24, 2023, as the cryptocurrency market rallied. The fund fell nearly 10% to $16.18 in early trading and has shed 59.3% of its value year-to-date, underscoring the severe performance drag facing bearish crypto positions during extended bull markets.

Inverse bitcoin ETFs allow traders and institutional investors to establish short positions on bitcoin futures through a traditional exchange-traded wrapper, eliminating the operational complexity, counterparty risk, and financing costs associated with direct futures shorting. These products have proliferated as the cryptocurrency market matured, with offerings from multiple providers including ProShares, Horizons ETF (BITI), and CSOP Asset Management, which launched a daily inverse (-1x) bitcoin futures product that invests directly in CME Bitcoin Futures contracts.

The sharp deterioration in inverse fund performance reflects broader cryptocurrency market momentum and declining bearish sentiment. Market sentiment indicators have reached extremes, with the CF Broad Cap Crypto Fear & Greed Index hitting an all-time low of 0.13 during periods of crypto weakness, yet these readings have not sustained bearish positioning as bitcoin has rebounded. For investors utilizing inverse products as portfolio hedges or tactical shorts, sustained cryptocurrency appreciation has created significant mark-to-market losses, illustrating the structural challenge of maintaining short exposure during extended bull markets.

The inverse ETF landscape demonstrates institutional recognition that crypto shorting demand exists, but execution through traditional inverse products carries inherent drawbacks—particularly the decay characteristics of leveraged and inverse instruments in volatile markets. As bitcoin and ethereum prices have recovered, short-position holders face mounting pressure, and funds like ProShares' offering have become increasingly underwater for investors who established positions expecting cryptocurrency weakness.

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Sources

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Reuters Fund tracking inverse of bitcoin futures hits all-time low as cryptocurrency rallies