Key Takeaways
- • Swissquote shares fell 10% following the company's 2026 guidance downgrade, driven by cryptocurrency market volatility and elevated near-term spending on growth initiatives.
- • 2026 pre-tax profit guidance of CHF385 million sits 3% below analyst consensus, despite revenue guidance of CHF760 million matching expectations at CHF761 million.
- • 2025 results demonstrated strong operational performance with net revenue of CHF723 million (+9.4% YoY) and pre-tax profit of CHF420 million (+21.6% YoY), benefiting from a CHF50 million one-off gain from Yuh consolidation.
- • Net fees and commissions surged 17.5% to CHF209 million, while net trading income jumped 52.6% to CHF120 million, offsetting a 12.1% decline in crypto volumes and 3.8% drop in electronic FX income.
- • Total expenses increased 11.8% to CHF353 million due to growth investments, compressing near-term profit margins despite client assets growing 16.3% to CHF88.7 billion and account base expanding by over 100,000 to 1.2 million accounts.
Summary
The Swiss online banking group reported 2025 net revenue of CHF723 million, representing 9.4% year-over-year growth and aligning with consensus forecasts. Pre-tax profit reached CHF420 million, up 21.6% YoY, bolstered by a CHF50 million one-off gain from the consolidation of subsidiary Yuh. However, the company issued 2026 guidance calling for CHF760 million in revenue—matching consensus expectations of CHF761 million—but projected pre-tax profit of CHF385 million, representing a 3% shortfall versus analyst consensus. This profit guidance miss, coupled with management's acknowledgment of heightened cryptocurrency volatility in the medium run, triggered the sharp equity selloff.
Revenue growth in 2025 was driven primarily by a 17.5% increase in net fees and commissions to CHF209 million, attributable to higher trading activity particularly in foreign exchange-denominated products. Net trading income surged 52.6% to CHF120 million. These gains were partially offset by headwinds: electronic foreign exchange income declined 3.8% year-over-year, and crypto volumes fell 12.1%, though crypto asset income remained flat at CHF86 million as the company shifted toward precious metals activity. Net interest income declined 3% to CHF218 million despite higher loans and deposits, pressured by Swiss interest rate cuts.
Total expenses climbed 11.8% to CHF353 million, primarily reflecting growth investments that management expects will weigh on near-term profitability. The Yuh consolidation is expected to increase future depreciation charges. Despite these near-term margin pressures, Swissquote demonstrated strong client acquisition and asset growth, adding over 100,000 accounts to reach 1.2 million total accounts (including 399,201 at Yuh), while client assets grew 16.3% to CHF88.7 billion, comprising CHF3.9 billion in market tailwinds and CHF8.5 billion in organic growth. Europe accounted for 40% of net new money, and client cash remained stable at 15% of client assets, indicating resilient deposit funding.
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