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Comstock Resources: A Leveraged Call On The Gulf Coast Natural Gas Bottleneck

Reported by Hedge Fund Alpha
Jul 23, 2026· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Strategic Asset Positioning: Comstock Resources executed a $192.5 million acquisition to strengthen its Gulf Coast natural gas footprint, maintaining a 57% natural gas / 43% oil production mix aligned with liquefaction infrastructure proximity in the region.
  • • Q4 2025 Cash Generation: Fourth quarter 2025 delivered $364 million in natural gas and oil sales (including realized hedging losses) and $222 million in operating cash flow ($0.75 per diluted share), driven by higher natural gas prices and improved realizations of $3.27 per Mcf after hedging.
  • • Haynesville Production Growth: Comstock deployed 35 wells across its legacy Haynesville area in 2025 (averaging 25 MMcf per day initial production) and 12 wells in the Western Haynesville (averaging 33 MMcf per day), demonstrating consistent drilling execution despite commodity headwinds.
  • • Leverage Management and Strategic Financing: Fitch affirmed Comstock's B-rated issuer default rating while calculating EBITDA leverage at 3.6x as of March 31, 2025; the company also secured a $600 million strategic investment from Sixth Street in Pinnacle Gas Services (announced June 2026), providing capital flexibility for infrastructure buildout.
  • • Margin Pressure and Growth Constraints: First quarter 2026 results reflected production declines from the prior-year period with lower commodity realizations, while research commentary flagged poor sales growth and declining returns on capital as headwinds to future expansion opportunities.
Summary
Comstock Resources, an independent natural gas and oil producer headquartered in Frisco, Texas, is executing a capital-intensive strategy focused on the Haynesville Shale formation's proximity to Gulf Coast liquefaction infrastructure. The company's operational thesis hinges on leveraging low-cost, long-lateral drilling in a natural gas-weighted portfolio (57% gas / 43% oil production mix) to capture margin expansion as regional LNG export capacity becomes a primary demand driver.

Fourth quarter 2025 results underscored the company's operational execution and commodity price sensitivity. Comstock reported $364 million in natural gas and oil sales for the quarter, bolstered by higher fourth-quarter natural gas prices and realized hedging results. The company realized $3.27 per Mcf (after hedging) for 111 Bcf of natural gas production, translating to $222 million in operating cash flow ($0.75 per diluted share) and adjusted EBITDAX of $277 million. Over the full 2025 year, Comstock turned 35 legacy Haynesville wells to sales (averaging 11,738-foot laterals and 25 MMcf per day initial production rates) and 12 Western Haynesville wells (averaging 8,399-foot laterals and 33 MMcf per day), demonstrating consistent drilling cadence. The company also monetized non-core assets, closing the sale of Shelby Trough properties in East Texas for $417 million in net proceeds.

Comstock's capital structure and funding strategy reflect the capital intensity of infrastructure development. Fitch affirmed the company's B issuer default rating in 2025 while estimating EBITDA leverage at 3.6x as of March 31, 2025. In June 2026, Comstock secured a $600 million strategic investment from Sixth Street Partners in Pinnacle Gas Services, an affiliated midstream entity, providing liquidity for Gulf Coast pipeline and processing infrastructure required to monetize incremental production volumes destined for liquefaction export.

However, near-term headwinds are evident. First quarter 2026 results reflected production declines relative to the prior-year period, with management citing commodity price pressure. Institutional research has flagged Comstock's modest sales growth trajectory and deteriorating returns on capital as structural constraints on future expansion, suggesting the company's long-term value creation depends critically on sustained higher natural gas prices and successful execution of its LNG export-linked infrastructure strategy.

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Hedge Fund Alpha Comstock Resources: A Leveraged Call On The Gulf Coast Natural Gas Bottleneck