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Decline of the star stock picker: Investors pull $150 billion from equity hedge funds

Reported by Financialpost
Feb 9, 2024· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Equity long-short hedge funds have experienced nearly $150 billion in client withdrawals over the past five years, reflecting sustained investor dissatisfaction with strategy performance across market cycles.
  • • The strategy has underperformed the US stock market in 9 of the past 10 years, according to Nasdaq eVestment data, failing to deliver on its core promise of capital protection during downturns while lagging bull market gains.
  • • Once dominated by celebrated stock-pickers including Julian Robertson (Tiger Management), Pierre Lagrange (GLG), and John Armitage (Egerton), the strategy has largely lost its cachet as few managers demonstrate consistent alpha generation in central bank-dominated markets.
  • • Equity long-short funds struggle in low-interest-rate environments dominated by central bank bond-buying, while passively managed index trackers have captured substantial bull market gains at fraction of the cost, accelerating the competitive disadvantage.
  • • Despite historical success—including double-digit returns throughout the 1990s and profitable short positions during the 2008 financial crisis and dotcom bust—the strategy has failed to adapt to modern market structure dominated by monetary policy rather than fundamental stock selection.
Summary
Equity long-short hedge funds, one of the industry's oldest and most storied strategies, face a fundamental crisis of performance and investor confidence. The strategy has hemorrhaged nearly $150 billion in client capital over the past five years as institutional investors reassess their allocations to active stock-picking strategies that have systematically underperformed passive alternatives.

The performance record is unambiguous. According to Nasdaq eVestment data, equity long-short funds have underperformed the US stock market in 9 of the past 10 years—a track record that contradicts the strategy's foundational premise of delivering consistent returns across market environments. The funds have proven unable to capitalize meaningfully during bull markets or provide meaningful downside protection during corrections, rendering them increasingly difficult to justify on a risk-adjusted basis relative to low-cost index alternatives.

The decline marks a precipitous fall from the strategy's golden era. Pioneered by Alfred Winslow Jones in 1949, equity long-short funds generated double-digit returns in nearly every year of the 1990s bull market and successfully navigated subsequent crises through tactical short positions—most notably during the 2008 financial crisis when firms like Lansdowne Partners profited substantially by betting against distressed financial institutions like Northern Rock. The strategy built its reputation on exceptional stock-pickers, including Tiger Management's Julian Robertson, GLG's Pierre Lagrange, and Egerton's John Armitage.

Today, that ecosystem of celebrated managers has largely evaporated. As Donald Pepper, co-chief executive of Trium (managing approximately $1.7 billion), observed: "Ten years ago people used to talk about the great equity stockpickers. You still have some rock stars like Chris Hohn, but there just aren't many of him around anymore." The fundamental problem lies not with individual manager skill but with market structure itself. Equity long-short strategies have struggled to adapt to markets dominated by central bank monetary policy, sustained low interest rates, and the structural advantages afforded to passive index vehicles. In this environment, traditional fundamental stock selection has become subordinate to macroeconomic policy direction, significantly constraining alpha generation opportunities for active managers.

The structural shift toward passive investing has accelerated these outflows. Index tracker funds, charging minimal fees while capturing broad market exposure, have delivered superior returns to most active equity long-short managers over the measurement period, fundamentally altering the cost-benefit calculus for institutional allocators. This competitive dynamic appears durable rather than cyclical, positioning equity long-short as a strategy in secular decline within the broader alternative investment landscape.

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Sources

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Financialpost Decline of the star stock picker: Investors pull $150 billion from equity hedge funds