Key Takeaways
- • Hedge funds are heavily shorting stocks this month, with bearish wagers nearing a five-year high, according to Goldman Sachs prime brokerage data.
- • Goldman Sachs says its prime brokerage clients have been selling stocks short at roughly five times the rate they have been buying them.
- • Short exposure is near its highest level of the past five years, while funds have also been reducing overall bullish positions.
- • The positioning raises the risk of a sharp short squeeze if markets rebound.
- • Pressures cited include US inflation pushed up by war-driven energy prices and signs that AI may not pay off quickly enough to support chip and infrastructure stocks.
Summary
The positioning carries a risk of a sharp squeeze if markets rebound, as short sellers may be forced to cover into a rally. The shift comes as a well-established cycle of fear and frenzy around artificial intelligence moves lower, with AI-related selling deepening.
Macro conditions are adding to the pressure. US inflation, exacerbated by war-driven energy prices, is compounding concerns, while new signs that AI investments will not pay off in time have raised the prospect of a fresh selloff in chip and infrastructure stocks.
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