Key Takeaways
- • Hedge funds sold technology stocks at the fastest rate in at least a decade during the week through October 15, 2026, according to Goldman Sachs prime brokerage data reported October 19, with semiconductors taking the largest dollar hit.
- • The selling was driven mainly by long liquidation rather than new short positions, which Goldman characterized as a signal of weaker conviction rather than a firm bearish thesis.
- • Net leverage fell to 48.6%, a one-year low, but technology still represented 23.5% of Goldman's global prime book, in the 90th percentile of the past five years.
- • The Nasdaq 100 fell 5.5% for the week, its worst week since April 2025.
- • Nvidia fell 4.08% over the week versus 7.88% for the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), and both rebounded on October 19, with Nvidia closing at $217.09.
Summary
Goldman described the selling as predominantly long liquidation, meaning funds sold shares they already held and did not meaningfully open new short positions. Goldman's analysis suggests this pattern reflects profit-taking and weaker confidence in chip valuations rather than a fresh bearish thesis. Because long liquidation tends to end once funds have trimmed the positions they intended to reduce, the selling may be nearing completion, though a new short thesis could extend pressure. The data covers only Goldman's prime book, a large but partial sample of the industry.
Net leverage, which measures how far long positions exceed shorts, fell to 48.6%, a one-year low. Lower leverage gives funds capacity to buy later but also means fewer buyers may step in if selling resumes. Despite the reduction, technology still made up 23.5% of Goldman's global prime book, a level in the 90th percentile of the past five years, indicating funds retain substantial tech exposure by historical standards.
The Nasdaq 100 dropped 5.5% for the week, its worst performance since April 2025. Stocks that fell hardest rebounded most on October 19: Marvell Technology rose 4.06% after a 10.82% weekly decline, and Lam Research gained 3.13% after falling 12.07%. Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) was the steadiest large chip stock, falling 4.08% over the week compared with 7.88% for SOXX. Nvidia closed at $217.09 on October 19, up 1.38%, while SOXX rose 1.73% to $501.93. Year to date, Nvidia is up 16.67% against a 66.96% gain for SOXX, suggesting the broader chip group holds more recent profit that funds could lock in.
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