Key Takeaways
- • Morningstar's MSCI Composite Hedge Fund Index gained 6.3% over the trailing 12 months through January 2013, with nearly all hedge fund categories posting positive returns for 2012 excluding short bias and systematic trading strategies.
- • January 2013 marked a strong month for hedge funds, with the composite index rising 1.9%, driven by reduced global economic and political uncertainty and a broad appetite for risk assets; the S&P 500 climbed 5.2% for the month.
- • Long-short equity hedge funds outperformed during January, with the MSCI North America Hedge Fund Index up 2.3%, while the Russell 2000 jumped 6.3% and the MSCI Small Cap Hedge Fund Index advanced 3.9%.
- • Risk-sensitive strategies delivered the strongest performance in January, while fixed-income strategies declined as widespread investor optimism shifted capital to higher-yielding assets; emerging markets hedge funds gained 3% amid positive economic data from China.
- • Investor redemptions accelerated during late 2012, with single-manager funds experiencing $4.7 billion in outflows during December alone—the fourth consecutive month of outflows—representing more than half of the $7 billion in total redemptions from the Morningstar database during the full year 2012.
Summary
According to Philip Guziec, alternative investing strategist at Morningstar, the January rally was characterized by a decisive shift toward riskier positions. "Reduced global economic and political uncertainty during January fueled a broad increase in appetite for risky assets," Guziec stated. "Excluding the short biased category, all hedge fund strategies were up for the month, and the most risk-sensitive strategies posted the strongest performance." The month's gains were concentrated early, with a two-day equity market rally driving the bulk of the S&P 500's 5.2% monthly advance.
Regional and category-specific performance varied significantly. Long-short equity strategies, captured in the MSCI North America Hedge Fund Index, gained 2.3% in January, while the broader equity market, as measured by the Russell 2000, surged 6.3%. Small-cap focused hedge funds followed closely with a 3.9% gain. Emerging markets hedge funds benefited from positive macroeconomic signals, particularly from China, rising 3% during the month. Conversely, less risky fixed-income strategies declined as widespread investor optimism pulled capital toward higher-yielding opportunities; however, high-yield and relative-value hedge fund strategies posted gains.
The performance gains masks an underlying redemption trend that accelerated during the second half of 2012. Single-manager funds within Morningstar's hedge fund database experienced $4.7 billion in outflows during December 2012 alone, marking the fourth consecutive month of net outflows. These December redemptions represented more than half of the $7 billion in total withdrawals investors made from hedge funds in the database throughout 2012—a sharp reversal from the inflow environment of prior years, when funds received $17.9 billion in 2011 and $10 billion in 2010.
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