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Hedge Funds Struggle in Q1 as Geopolitics and AI Disruption Rattle Markets

Reported by Startupfortune
Apr 1, 2026· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Balyasny Asset Management ($33 billion AUM) suffered a 3.8% Q1 decline, dropping 4.3% in March alone, marking one of the steepest losses among major multistrategy funds as geopolitical and AI-driven market shifts exposed portfolio vulnerabilities.
  • • Performance divergence was stark across the hedge fund industry: Schonfeld Strategic Advisors ($19 billion AUM) remained flat in March and positive 0.9% YTD; Dymon Asia posted a 4.3% March loss but stayed up 6% for the year; Pinpoint Asset Management declined 2.5% in March yet remained up 4% YTD overall.
  • • Two overlapping forces drove Q1 losses: American and Israeli military strikes on Iran triggered energy price surges that disrupted macro-oriented positioning (particularly short-term interest rate cut bets in Europe and the UK), while an AI-driven software sell-off pressured technology-heavy portfolios across large-cap tech and software exposures.
  • • Portfolio construction and regional exposure proved decisive: LMR Partners (London-based) fell 2.4% in March, while Walleye Capital shed 1.3%, highlighting how geographic positioning and sector allocation determined winners and losers in volatile conditions.
  • • Hedge funds entering Q1 with momentum (up ~4% before geopolitical escalation) faced a reality check, with multistrategy portfolios particularly vulnerable to the intersection of macro shocks and sector-specific disruption from expanding AI capabilities.
Summary
The first quarter of 2026 exposed significant performance gaps across the hedge fund industry as two major forces—Middle East geopolitical escalation and an AI-driven technology sell-off—tested multistrategy portfolio construction. Dmitry Balyasny's $33 billion flagship fund declined 3.8% for the quarter, with a particularly sharp 4.3% loss in March, positioning it among the worst performers in the major multistrategy cohort. London-based LMR Partners fell 2.4% in March, while Walleye Capital shed 1.3%. These losses were not isolated; they reflected a broader pattern in which heavily resourced investment firms found themselves misaligned with fast-moving geopolitical and technological shifts.

However, performance was decidedly mixed across the sector. Schonfeld Strategic Advisors, managing $19 billion in assets, held flat in March and posted a modest positive 0.9% return for the year. Asia-based Dymon Asia and Pinpoint Asset Management each suffered sharp March declines of 4.3% and 2.5% respectively, yet both remained solidly in the green for 2026 overall—Dymon up 6% and Pinpoint up 4%. North Rock maintained a positive 2.1% year-to-date return despite a 0.7% March dip. This divergence underscores that portfolio construction, regional exposure, and sector positioning mattered enormously during volatile conditions.

The primary catalyst for the quarter's turbulence was American and Israeli military strikes on Iran, which sent energy prices surging and disrupted macro-oriented trades across Europe and the United Kingdom. Many multistrategy managers had positioned macro-focused teams for short-term interest rate cuts in those regions—a thesis that reversed sharply following the geopolitical escalation. Simultaneously, an AI-driven software sell-off pressured large-cap technology and software companies as expanding AI capabilities threatened traditional business models. Hedge funds entered 2026 with momentum, building on positive 2025 performance and up approximately 4% before geopolitical tensions escalated in March. The combination of these factors tested the resilience of diversified portfolios and exposed managers with concentrated exposure to the wrong side of both macro and sector-specific trades.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Startupfortune Hedge Funds Struggle in Q1 as Geopolitics and AI Disruption Rattle Markets