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Ken Griffin’s Citadel makes US$16 billion to top Paulson’s ‘greatest trade ever’ - South China Morning Post

Reported by Scmp
Jan 23, 2023· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Citadel generated a record $16 billion in profit for clients in 2022, establishing the largest single-year return for any hedge fund manager on record and surpassing John Paulson's $15 billion subprime mortgage bet in 2007.
  • • The top 20 hedge fund firms collectively produced $22.4 billion in profits after fees, with Citadel alone accounting for approximately 71% of that total, according to LCH Investments data.
  • • Multistrategy hedge funds—led by Citadel, DE Shaw, and Millennium—dominated industry performance, delivering a 3.4% return at the top 20 manager tier while the broader hedge fund universe lost $208 billion and suffered an 8.2% loss.
  • • Citadel's outperformance reflects structural advantages in multistrategy positioning, which relies on market-neutral and non-directional strategies less dependent on rising asset prices during periods of market turbulence.
  • • The results underscore the growing concentration of capital and talent at large multistrategy firms, which are positioned to become the dominant strategy type in the hedge fund industry, displacing traditional equity-focused managers.
Summary
Ken Griffin's Citadel achieved an unprecedented $16 billion profit for clients in 2022, setting a new industry record that eclipsed one of financial history's most celebrated trades. The performance surpassed John Paulson's $15 billion gain in 2007 from his contrarian bet against subprime mortgages—a trade later immortalized as the "greatest trade ever" in Gregory Zuckerman's book of the same name. According to LCH Investments, a fund of hedge funds analytics firm, Citadel's gain represented the largest annual return ever recorded by a hedge fund manager.

Citadel's dominance becomes more pronounced when contextualized against industry-wide performance. The top 20 hedge fund firms collectively generated $22.4 billion in profits after fees in 2022, meaning Citadel captured approximately 71% of gains produced by the elite tier. In stark contrast, the broader hedge fund universe experienced significant losses, with LCH estimating the industry lost $208 billion overall. The performance differential was dramatic: top 20 managers achieved a 3.4% return, while the remaining funds studied suffered losses of 8.2%.

The performance divide reflects the structural advantages held by multistrategy hedge funds, which employ diversified trading approaches that do not depend primarily on rising asset prices. LCH Chairman Rick Sopher attributed the outsized gains of large multistrategy managers—including Citadel, DE Shaw, and Millennium—to "their increasing dominance in strategies which do not depend on rising asset prices, and their substantial size." This positioning proved advantageous during 2022's volatile global markets, when traditional long-equity strategies faced significant headwinds.

The concentration of returns at multistrategy firms underscores a broader industry trend toward consolidation and strategy dominance. Multistrategy hedge funds are approaching a threshold where they may displace equity-focused funds as the predominant strategy type. The substantial assets and higher fee structures at these large firms create a competitive advantage in recruiting and retaining top trading talent, reinforcing their market position and ability to generate outsized returns even during periods of broader market distress.

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Scmp Ken Griffin’s Citadel makes US$16 billion to top Paulson’s ‘greatest trade ever’ - South China Morning Post