Key Takeaways
- • Just 7.5% of 50 hedge fund managers surveyed by Hedgeweek said their fund would consider subscribing to Trump Media and Technology Group's Truth API at $100,000 a month, with only two respondents (5%) saying they would absolutely subscribe.
- • More than half of respondents (52.5%) answered "absolutely not" without giving a reason; among those who did explain, 15% cited cost, 12.5% cited reputational or compliance concerns, and 10% said the signal was too noisy to trade on.
- • The Truth API sells accelerated access to posts from Truth Social's 10 most popular trending accounts, and has drawn Democratic lawmaker requests for an SEC review over whether it amounts to insider trading.
- • TMTG CEO Kevin McGurn declined to address the investigations, describing the product as cash-positive and saying high-frequency trading firms had sought such a feed for around 18 months.
- • For discretionary managers, a few seconds' head start on a post is worth little against $1.2m a year in fees, suggesting the product is being judged primarily on economics.
Summary
Among the respondents who gave reasons for declining, cost was the most common: 15% said the price did not justify the edge. A further 12.5% cited reputational or compliance concerns, and 10% said the signal was too noisy or unreliable to trade on. Hedgeweek noted that more than three times as many respondents cited cost or signal quality as said they would consider subscribing.
The product has drawn political scrutiny since its launch earlier this year. Democratic lawmakers have asked the Securities and Exchange Commission to examine whether the service breaches federal securities laws, arguing that paying for early sight of the president's market-moving posts amounts to insider trading. Speaking at an Axios event in New York, TMTG chief executive Kevin McGurn declined to address the inquiries, saying "some of these investigations are ongoing." He described the API as cash-positive, said high-frequency trading firms had been asking about such a feed for around 18 months, and argued the technology is no different from data products offered by other social media platforms.
The gap between TMTG's account of demand and the survey results may reflect the product's narrow appeal. A latency-driven feed is most valuable to firms trading in milliseconds, a small segment of the hedge fund universe. For discretionary managers, a few seconds' head start is worth little against $1.2m a year in fees. Only one in eight respondents named reputational or regulatory risk as their reason for declining, despite the political controversy, suggesting the product is being judged mainly on economics. However, if the SEC takes a view on the matter, compliance could quickly become the deciding factor.
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