Key Takeaways
- • Brent crude rose 0.4% to $116.24 a barrel and WTI gained 0.3% to $102.07 on Tuesday, according to Reuters, reversing earlier declines of about 1%.
- • Brent surpassed $117 last week after Iranian attacks on tankers around the Strait of Hormuz, leaving prices near six-month highs.
- • Flows through the Strait of Hormuz are running at roughly 60% of normal levels, and Gulf crude exports have fallen for four consecutive weeks, per ANZ Research.
- • Global distillate inventories are nearly 5% below their five-year average, tightening supply availability.
- • October has recorded the highest number of attacks on commercial shipping around the Strait of Hormuz since 2017, while renewed Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure add further disruption risk.
Summary
Diplomatic talks between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan and Iran on Monday offered some prospect of easing regional tensions. However, renewed Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure underscored the risk of further supply disruptions. October has recorded the highest number of attacks on commercial shipping around the Strait of Hormuz since 2017, keeping the waterway a critical source of uncertainty for global energy markets.
Supply constraints continue to support elevated prices. ANZ Research reports that Gulf crude exports have declined for four consecutive weeks and that flows through the Strait of Hormuz are running at approximately 60% of normal levels. Global distillate inventories are also nearly 5% below their five-year average, adding to concerns over supply availability and sustaining volatility across energy markets.
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