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This 'Tiger cub' hedge fund is betting big on a solar stock. Here's likely why

Reported by Cnbc
Oct 19, 2019· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Tiger Global Management, led by Chase Coleman, has accumulated a 25%+ equity stake in Sunrun (29.7 million shares) through steady accumulation since Q1 2018, representing a significant conviction bet on the nation's largest residential solar company.
  • • Sunrun shares have appreciated over 50% year-to-date as of October 2019, reflecting market validation of the company's growth trajectory across 22 states plus Washington DC and Puerto Rico.
  • • Coleman's thesis aligns with Wall Street analyst sentiment: Oppenheimer analyst Colin Rusch highlighted Sunrun's "significant growth potential" and "differentiated and efficient financing strategy" positioned to benefit from robust North American residential solar installation demand through 2019.
  • • The residential solar market has attracted institutional capital beyond Tiger Global, with venture capital firms Sequoia Capital and Millennium also holding positions in Sunrun, signaling broader investor confidence in the sector's expansion.
  • • Coleman's track record as a Julian Robertson protégé encompasses successful large-cap tech positions (Facebook, Microsoft, Amazon, Netflix, JD.com, Alibaba) alongside this contrarian alternative-energy bet, demonstrating diversified conviction positioning across growth categories.
Summary
Chase Coleman's Tiger Global Management has established itself as a major stakeholder in Sunrun, the nation's largest residential solar company, through a methodical capital deployment strategy that began in early 2018. The hedge fund now controls 29.7 million shares—representing over 25% of Sunrun's equity—according to SEC filings, making it one of the company's largest institutional shareholders. This sustained position accumulation reflects Coleman's conviction in Sunrun's long-term growth prospects in the residential solar installation market.

Sunrun's business model emphasizes lease-focused arrangements designed to generate positive cash flow over extended holding periods rather than prioritizing short-term revenue recognition. The San Francisco-based company operates across 22 states plus Washington DC and Puerto Rico, demonstrating geographic diversification that supports its residential solar expansion thesis. The company's August 2015 IPO marked its transition to public markets, and the subsequent years have validated this growth strategy with share price appreciation exceeding 50% year-to-date as of this October 2019 reporting period.

Coleman's investment thesis aligns with Wall Street institutional research. Oppenheimer analyst Colin Rusch recently noted that Sunrun possesses "significant growth potential and a differentiated and efficient financing strategy" positioned to capitalize on what he characterized as a "robust North American residential solar installation market through 2019." This analyst perspective lends credibility to Tiger Global's substantial equity commitment and suggests the market has begun recognizing the sector's structural tailwinds.

The Sunrun position exemplifies Coleman's broader investment philosophy forged during his tenure at Julian Robertson's legendary Tiger Management before Robertson's 2000 closure. Robertson subsequently seeded Coleman with $25 million to establish Tiger Global, which has since grown into a $23 billion asset manager. Coleman's portfolio demonstrates balanced conviction positioning: top holdings include large-cap technology franchises (Microsoft, Amazon, Netflix, Facebook, JD.com, Alibaba) alongside emerging consumer platforms (Peloton), complemented by this substantial alternative-energy allocation. The presence of other institutional investors—including venture capital firms Sequoia Capital and Millennium—further validates the market opportunity Coleman has identified in residential solar infrastructure expansion.

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Cnbc This 'Tiger cub' hedge fund is betting big on a solar stock. Here's likely why