Key Takeaways
- • Healthcare private equity deal flow is increasingly departing from the traditional auction model, with panelists at McDermott Will & Schulte's HPE Europe conference in September describing a market marked by broken processes, bilateral negotiations and longer timelines.
- • Investors are encountering "non-process processes," in which buyers receive information and enter discussions without knowing whether they are in a formal sale process.
- • Deals considered lost can return weeks or months later when agreements with winning bidders fail to materialise, forcing investors to hold positions open rather than assume a clear outcome.
- • Uncertainty is extending deal timelines and sustaining disagreement over valuation, raising the premium on conviction and relationships.
- • Moderator Fatema Orjela, partner in the private equity team at McDermott Will & Schulte, noted that across the value chain, hardly any transactions in the current year have involved a standard auction process.
Summary
The traditional private equity auction, which moves in a predictable sequence through diligence, bids, exclusivity and signing, is under increasing pressure. Panelists reported a much wider range of outcomes. Some processes never reach exclusivity. Others advance quickly before a new bidder appears unexpectedly. Transactions that seem lost can also resurface weeks or months later if the agreement with the winning bidder does not complete. One panelist described "non-process processes," in which buyers receive information and are invited into discussions without necessarily knowing whether they are participating in a formal sale.
The consequences extend beyond process. Investors can no longer assume a defined path, and this uncertainty is lengthening deal timelines and prolonging disagreement over valuation. The panel emphasised that conviction and relationships have become more important in this environment, and that specialist differentiation is one way investors are adapting. The discussion points to a market where sourcing, bilateral engagement and patience carry more weight than they did under the conventional auction model.
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