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PE Secondaries in Volatile Markets

Reported by Morganstanley
Nov 3, 2022· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Volatile market conditions create pricing opportunities for secondary managers — reduced exit activity and market uncertainty generate attractive entry points for constructing diversified PE secondary portfolios with downside protection.
  • • PE secondaries market has experienced substantial growth — the LP secondaries segment expanded from $25 billion to $87 billion over recent years, reflecting increased institutional appetite for alternative liquidity solutions.
  • • Portfolio construction strategy centers on three core benefits — broad diversification across underlying assets, re-priced assets reflecting current market conditions, and liquidity solutions designed for uncertain market environments.
  • • Small and middle-market segments represent underexploited opportunity areas — creative deal structures and focus on overlooked market segments provide additional value creation and liquidity unlock potential during periods of constrained exit activity.
Summary
Private equity secondaries have emerged as an attractive investment avenue during periods of market volatility, according to Morgan Stanley analysis. The strategic appeal reflects a fundamental market dynamic: ongoing uncertainty and reduced exit activity in primary PE markets create dislocations that secondary managers can exploit to construct portfolios with meaningful downside protection. This environment contrasts with normal market conditions and positions secondaries as a tactical response to current macro uncertainty.

The PE secondary market itself has matured substantially. The LP secondaries segment has grown from $25 billion to $87 billion in recent years, demonstrating significant institutional capital migration toward secondary vehicles. This expansion reflects growing recognition among limited partners that secondary transactions—the buying and selling of existing investor commitments to PE funds or specific assets within portfolios—offer valuable portfolio diversification and liquidity benefits, particularly during down cycles.

Morgan Stanley's research emphasizes three core value propositions driving secondary investment in volatile markets. First, broad diversification emerges naturally from secondary portfolios, which typically span multiple underlying companies across various funds and vintage years. Second, re-priced assets create opportunities as valuations adjust to reflect current market conditions rather than historical entry valuations. Third, secondaries provide a direct liquidity solution for investors seeking capital redeployment in uncertain environments when traditional exit channels are constrained.

Beyond macro volatility, market participants have identified secondary opportunities in overlooked segments. Small and middle-market PE investments have received less secondary market attention than larger buyouts, creating niche opportunities for secondary managers employing creative deal structures. This strategic focus on underserved market segments complements broader portfolio construction and provides additional avenues for value realization during periods of constrained primary market activity.

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Sources

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Morganstanley PE Secondaries in Volatile Markets