Key Takeaways
- • Artificial intelligence has compressed the timeline for successful cyberattacks from months to minutes, fundamentally altering the risk calculus for private equity firms and their portfolio companies.
- • Preventative cyber controls—multi-factor authentication (MFA), endpoint detection and response (EDR), and similar defenses—remain necessary but are no longer sufficient as a standalone strategy; organizations must now embed resilience and recovery capabilities throughout their operations.
- • Ryan Kratz, Head of Cyber for North America at MSIG USA, emphasizes that cyber underwriting has shifted from a prevention-first paradigm to a resilience-first approach, focusing on business continuity and attack response protocols rather than solely avoiding breaches.
- • Private equity firms are increasingly conducting cybersecurity due diligence during deal sourcing and integration to identify cyber risks and quantify associated mitigation costs before and after acquisition.
- • An AI-driven arms race between offensive and defensive cyber capabilities is reshaping threat landscapes, with at least one recent autonomous AI attack executing with virtually no human involvement, forcing portfolio companies and their underwriters to rethink business continuity planning.
Summary
The most significant change centers on attack speed and accessibility. Tasks that once required months of skilled effort by experienced hackers can now be executed in minutes, according to MSIG USA's cyber leadership. Ryan Kratz, Head of Cyber for North America at MSIG USA, noted that "two years ago, it could take months for even a really good hacker to find their way into an ecosystem, where now it could potentially take minutes." This compression of the attack timeline has been enabled by AI-driven tools that democratize hacking capabilities, lowering barriers to entry for would-be attackers. In at least one documented recent incident, an autonomous AI-driven attack occurred with virtually no human involvement, underscoring the autonomous nature of emerging threats.
This evolution has forced a fundamental recalibration of cyber risk strategy across the institutional investment community. Traditional preventative controls—multi-factor authentication, endpoint detection and response systems, and similar defensive measures—remain essential components of any cybersecurity posture. However, these controls alone are no longer sufficient to mitigate cyber risk. According to cyber underwriting professionals, the industry is pivoting from a prevention-centric model to a resilience-first framework. As Kratz explained: "Because of AI, it's almost impossible to completely avoid a cyber attack. We're really focusing on resiliency first now more so than ever. How are you responding to an attack? What are your business processes in place to recover from that attack?"
For private equity firms, this paradigm shift has tangible implications for due diligence, portfolio monitoring, and deal underwriting. PE firms are increasingly performing comprehensive cybersecurity assessments during investment sourcing to identify vulnerabilities and quantify remediation costs. Embedding cyber risk oversight into portfolio monitoring enables firms to reduce unplanned operational disruptions, maintain business continuity, and preserve enterprise value. The stakes are substantial: unchecked cyber risk can lead to financial loss, reputational damage, and operational stalls across portfolio companies that may lack operational control over all assets within their networks. Leading firms are integrating cyber resilience as a strategic imperative alongside traditional operational metrics, recognizing that cybersecurity is now central to deal success and portfolio performance rather than a peripheral compliance concern.
Go deeper than the headline
Research every firm in this story, track the ones that matter and get the daily briefing — free for 7 days.