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When Will Public and Private Equity Markets Finally Converge?

Reported by Morningstar
Oct 8, 2024· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Mutual funds have underperformed public equity allocations over the past 10 years when holding private company stakes, suggesting that direct private equity exposure through mass-market vehicles may not deliver investor value despite industry enthusiasm for convergence.
  • • SEC regulations cap open-end mutual funds at 15% allocation to illiquid private holdings, while closed-end vehicles like interval funds and exchange-traded closed-end funds face no such constraints and are driving current industry expansion into private assets.
  • • Liquidity constraints severely limit portfolio management flexibility: mutual funds trade less than 1% of private company shares per quarter on average, with most activity driven by new financing rounds rather than secondary market transactions.
  • • The structural illiquidity of venture capital markets creates a significant operational barrier for any mass-marketed fund planning to build portfolios primarily composed of direct private company equities, complicating the path toward public-private market convergence.
  • • Fund companies are actively pursuing strategies to democratize private asset access for retail investors, but research findings suggest this convergence strategy faces material headwinds related to performance and liquidity constraints.
Summary
The investment industry is pursuing aggressive plans to blend public and private assets into single vehicles accessible to retail investors, positioning private equity as an asset class that has remained out of reach for everyday market participants too long. However, recent research from Morningstar on mutual funds' 10-year track record with private company equity holdings reveals a cautionary narrative: funds that allocated capital to private stakes would have delivered superior returns by redirecting those positions to public markets instead.

The regulatory environment has long constrained this convergence. The SEC limits open-end mutual funds to holding a maximum of 15% in illiquid private holdings, a structural constraint that has contained retail exposure to private markets. Current industry enthusiasm centers on closed-end vehicles—particularly interval funds and exchange-traded closed-end funds—which operate without such caps and theoretically can construct portfolios composed entirely of private company equities.

The core challenge underlying this convergence remains liquidity. Mutual funds buy or sell less than 1% of their private company shares per quarter on average, with the majority of this activity derived from participation in new financing rounds rather than true secondary market transactions. This extreme illiquidity reflects structural features embedded in venture capital markets themselves, creating operational friction that constrains active portfolio management and rebalancing. Secondary market trades in private holdings remain exceptionally rare, limiting fund managers' ability to respond to valuation opportunities or portfolio drift.

These findings present a significant headwind for fund companies seeking to market private assets directly to institutional and retail investors through mass-distribution channels. The confluence of historical underperformance relative to public markets and severe liquidity constraints suggests that expanding private asset access through interval funds, closed-end ETFs, or similar vehicles will face material obstacles. While the blurring of boundaries between public and private markets represents a genuine industry trend, the path toward seamless convergence appears considerably more complicated than current market enthusiasm suggests.

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Sources

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Morningstar When Will Public and Private Equity Markets Finally Converge?