Key Takeaways
- • Venture capitalists have backed approximately one-third of all large publicly traded companies started in the U.S. since the 1970s, demonstrating the outsized influence of VC funding on American corporate formation and public markets.
- • VC investment philosophy prioritizes the "jockey" (technology and team capability) over the "horse" (the business model or market), reflecting a fundamental approach to assessing startup potential and risk in early-stage investments.
- • The VC mindset operationalizes risk through portfolio-level decision-making, including wider deal funnels, increased co-investment activity, and selective capital deployment rather than consensus-driven consensus-building approaches.
- • VC decision-making emphasizes agility and active networking—expanding exposure to deal opportunities, attending more industry events, and developing broad subject knowledge—to maintain competitive advantage in deal sourcing and due diligence.
Summary
Strebulaev's research identifies a distinctive "VC mindset" that shapes how venture capitalists evaluate and deploy capital into high-risk, early-stage growth companies. A core principle of this mindset centers on prioritizing what Strebulaev terms "the jockey rather than the horse"—meaning VCs focus primarily on technology and team capability as investment signals, rather than placing equivalent weight on traditional business model assessment or market characteristics. This distinction reflects how venture investors systematically calibrate risk exposure and bet on execution capability in environments of acute uncertainty.
The operational expression of the VC mindset manifests across several decision-making dimensions. VCs employ wider deal funnels to increase exposure to investment opportunities, participate actively in co-investment structures to share risk, and deliberately embrace disagreement as a counterbalance to premature consensus. Rather than building decisions through group consensus, VCs maintain agility by staying actively engaged with deal sources through expanded networking, event participation, and continuous subject-matter development. This approach enables venture investors to process larger information flows and maintain informational edges in competitive deal environments, where capital deployment decisions must often be made under compressed timelines and incomplete information.
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