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SCOOP: Menlo Ventures Sees IRR of 40% on Recent Funds After Doubling Down on Anthropic - Newcomer | Substack

Reported by Newcomer
Jul 16, 2026· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Menlo Ventures achieved IRR of 40%+ on recent funds through concentrated exposure to Anthropic, which represents the firm's largest single investment at approximately $1 billion deployed across multiple funding rounds—10x larger than its second-largest investment.
  • • Anthropic stake valued at $14 billion as of the reporting period, demonstrating exceptional unrealized gains on Menlo's concentrated bet that has fundamentally transformed the firm's return profile after prior underperformance in 2015 and 2018 funds.
  • • Menlo raised $3 billion in new capital (largest fundraise in the firm's 50-year history) in conjunction with strong fund performance, driven by investor demand for exposure to AI-focused deployment across portfolio companies including Lovable, Wispr, and Suno.
  • • Firm deployed structured capital vehicles including a dedicated special purpose vehicle in 2024 (>$500 million into Anthropic Series D) and co-launched $100 million Anthology Fund with Anthropic to invest in early-stage AI companies with platform credit access, demonstrating deepened partnership strategy.
Summary
Menlo Ventures has pivoted its investment thesis decisively toward artificial intelligence, resulting in a dramatic turnaround in fund performance metrics. The Silicon Valley firm, which faced middling returns from its 2015 and 2018 funds, has now achieved internal rates of return exceeding 40% on more recent funds through concentrated exposure to Anthropic and other AI-focused portfolio companies.

The centerpiece of this transformation is Menlo's investment in Anthropic, the AI research laboratory. Beginning with a Series C investment in 2023, Menlo has deployed approximately $1 billion across multiple funding rounds and vehicles—representing the largest capital concentration in the firm's history, approximately 10 times larger than its second-biggest investment. The stake is currently valued at $14 billion, based on Menlo's participation in subsequent rounds including a Series D led by the firm in July 2024. Beyond Anthropic, Menlo's 2025-stage investments in companies such as Lovable, Wispr, and Suno are also generating significant markups, supporting the firm's broader AI-first strategy.

To capitalize on momentum and deploy fresh capital into the AI opportunity set, Menlo announced a $3 billion fundraise last month—the largest in the firm's 50-year history. This capital raise was announced contemporaneously with the release of fund performance data and signals LP confidence in management's AI-focused deployment strategy. The firm structured its Anthropic exposure across multiple vehicles, including a special purpose vehicle established in 2024 that committed over $500 million to Anthropic's Series D round alongside main fund capital. Additionally, Menlo launched the $100 million Anthology Fund in partnership with Anthropic to deploy capital into early-stage AI startups while providing those companies direct access to Anthropic's computational infrastructure and model credits.

Fund performance data through Q1 2026 demonstrates the power law dynamics at work in venture capital, where concentrated exposure to transformative companies can drive outsized returns across an entire fund portfolio. Menlo's strategic pivot toward AI, executed through Anthropic and related companies, has reversed the firm's historical underperformance and positioned it as a leading venture investor in the current artificial intelligence cycle.

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Newcomer SCOOP: Menlo Ventures Sees IRR of 40% on Recent Funds After Doubling Down on Anthropic - Newcomer | Substack