Key Takeaways
- • Private equity fund formation slowed to 364 funds in 2025 from 392 in 2024, signaling a consolidation phase that creates opportunity for established managers while pressuring new entrants in an increasingly saturated market.
- • Global secondary market volumes reached a record $103 billion in H1 2025 (up 51% from $68 billion in H1 2024), demonstrating robust demand from LPs seeking liquidity and exit opportunities despite slower primary fundraising.
- • EU's AIFMD II regulatory framework takes effect in April 2026, introducing harmonized rules across member states including loan origination fund standards, originate-to-distribute bans, and tighter delegation requirements that will reshape cross-border fund distribution.
- • Semi-liquid funds face intensifying competition as product proliferation outpaces capital raising, with successful launches increasingly dependent on institutional seed funding from private banks—often requiring discounts or fee holidays in exchange for early-stage risk assumption.
- • Private markets are approaching $20 trillion in assets under management, driven by investor demand for diversification, income maximization (43% of clients' top goals), and exposure to alternatives (35%), signaling continued mainstream adoption of alternative investments.
Summary
The secondary markets, by contrast, are experiencing explosive growth. Global secondary market volumes hit a record $103 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a 51% surge from the previous record of $68 billion in H1 2024, according to Jefferies. This unprecedented demand underscores limited partners' strategic pivot toward liquidity solutions and portfolio optimization, particularly as traditional fundraising channels face headwinds. Successful product launches in semi-liquid strategies are increasingly dependent on institutional seed capital from private banks, though early-stage investors typically demand fee discounts or holidays to compensate for concentration risk.
Regulatory developments are reshaping the European landscape with AIFMD II's April 2026 implementation. The revised Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive introduces a harmonized regulatory framework across EU member states, featuring a ban on originate-to-distribute strategies, mandatory risk retention requirements, concentration limits, and stricter delegation standards—particularly in Luxembourg and Ireland. Most member states have avoided gold-plating provisions, potentially easing cross-border distribution for established alternative fund managers.
Private markets are approaching $20 trillion in assets under management, driven by a fundamental reorientation of institutional investor preferences. Client surveys indicate that top investment objectives for 2026 center on income maximization (43%), expanding alternative exposure (35%), and tax efficiency (35%). The convergence of public and private markets, coupled with democratization of access to institutional-quality alternative strategies, continues fueling capital allocation shifts toward private assets. Transparency and liquidity—historically absent from private markets—are becoming competitive differentiators as market participants demand modern infrastructure and reporting standards previously associated with public markets.
Go deeper than the headline
Research every firm in this story, track the ones that matter and get the daily briefing — free for 7 days.