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CFTC allows expansion of predictions, crypto trading through online platforms

Reported by Tradingview
Sep 17, 2026· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • The CFTC issued staff guidance exempting "passive software" providers from broker registration requirements if they partner with regulated entities and never take custody of user assets, significantly lowering barriers to entry for prediction market and crypto trading platforms.
  • • The regulatory action expands access to crypto and prediction market trading through online platforms by reducing compliance friction for software providers that operate non-custodial infrastructure.
  • • Trading Technologies announced connectivity to Crypto.com's regulated prediction markets platform (OG.com) scheduled to launch in Q4 2026, demonstrating market participants' immediate response to the CFTC's expanded regulatory framework.
  • • The CFTC's approach creates a bifurcated regulatory landscape, with prediction markets potentially subject to oversight by both the CFTC and SEC as new contract types are introduced, requiring market participants to navigate dual compliance regimes.
  • • The guidance reinforces the CFTC's position as the primary regulator of event contract derivatives and prediction markets, provided underlying products maintain genuine financial utility and legitimate hedging functions distinct from pure gambling.
Summary
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has moved to expand cryptocurrency and prediction market trading infrastructure by exempting certain software providers from traditional broker registration requirements. In staff guidance issued Thursday, the CFTC clarified that "passive software" providers partnering with regulated entities will not face enforcement action for failing to register as brokers, provided they maintain a non-custodial operating model and never take possession of user assets.

This regulatory relief represents a material shift in the CFTC's approach to fintech infrastructure, effectively lowering operational and compliance barriers for software developers and technology platforms seeking to serve the prediction markets and crypto trading sectors. By distinguishing between passive software providers and traditional intermediaries, the agency has created a clearer pathway for innovation while maintaining investor protection through the requirement that only regulated entities maintain direct custody relationships and regulatory accountability.

The practical impact is already visible in market activity. Trading Technologies announced that connectivity to Crypto.com's regulated prediction markets platform, branded OG.com, is scheduled to go live in the fourth quarter of 2026. This integration demonstrates how market infrastructure providers are responding to the expanded regulatory clarity, building interoperability solutions that enable broader access to prediction market and crypto products through established trading venues.

However, the regulatory landscape remains complex. As new event contract types are introduced, prediction markets may face overlapping jurisdiction from both the CFTC and SEC, requiring market participants to maintain compliance with dual regulatory regimes. The CFTC has emphasized that event contract derivatives must retain genuine financial utility and legitimate hedging functions to distinguish them from pure wagering products—a boundary that remains subject to ongoing scrutiny and potential litigation, as evidenced by the agency's recent legal action against certain states over regulatory authority.

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Sources

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Tradingview CFTC allows expansion of predictions, crypto trading through online platforms