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Grayscale: Bitcoin's Quantum Risk Is Social, Not Technical

Reported by Bitbo ·Forklog
Apr 7, 2026· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Samson Mow, Bitcoin advocate and Jan3 founder, opposes accelerating Bitcoin's transition to post-quantum cryptography, arguing that a rushed implementation could introduce vulnerabilities to current threats before addressing future quantum risks.
  • • Post-quantum signature schemes carry significant performance penalties, with estimates indicating signatures could be 10-125x larger than current ones, potentially reducing network throughput and reigniting scalability debates similar to Bitcoin's 2015-2017 block size wars.
  • • Mow's position directly counters Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Chief Security Officer Philip Martin's calls for industry acceleration on quantum-readiness preparation.
  • • Quantum computers are not expected to pose an imminent threat for another 10-20 years, according to Mow's assessment, making premature protocol changes unnecessary and potentially counterproductive.
  • • Mow advocates for continued preparation work on quantum resilience without rushing implementation, balancing long-term security needs against near-term network stability and decentralization concerns.
Summary
Samson Mow, a prominent Bitcoin advocate and founder of Jan3, has publicly pushed back against calls from Coinbase executives to accelerate Bitcoin's migration to post-quantum cryptography standards. The disagreement highlights a fundamental tension within the cryptocurrency industry regarding how and when to address theoretical quantum computing threats to blockchain security.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Chief Security Officer Philip Martin have urged the broader industry to begin preparing for quantum computing threats sooner rather than later. However, Mow frames the discussion differently, emphasizing that speed in implementing quantum-resistant solutions could create immediate security problems while attempting to solve a distant future problem. His core argument, articulated on X, warns: "Simply put: make Bitcoin safe against quantum computers just to get pwned by normal computers."

The technical implications of post-quantum signature schemes present a material challenge. Mow, citing former Bitcoin developer Jonas Schnelli, warns that post-quantum signatures will likely be 10-125x larger than current signatures and would "massively reduce throughput." This concern carries historical weight, as Bitcoin previously experienced contentious debates around block size and network capacity between 2015 and 2017. That dispute fundamentally questioned who controls Bitcoin's governance and whether scaling should occur through protocol changes or alternative solutions, ultimately leading to ideological fractures within the community.

Despite opposing rushed implementation, Mow emphasizes that preparation work should continue. He acknowledges that quantum computers are not expected to pose genuine threats for another 10-20 years, making a measured, deliberate approach preferable to hasty protocol modifications. This position suggests a phased strategy: maintaining current security postures while developing quantum-resistant solutions in parallel, rather than disrupting network operations to implement unproven systems prematurely.

The debate underscores a recurring challenge in cryptocurrency governance: balancing theoretical future risks against current operational security and decentralization principles. For institutional investors evaluating Bitcoin's long-term viability, this disagreement among technical authorities reflects legitimate technical concerns about implementation timelines and trade-offs rather than fundamental threats to the network's security model.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Bitbo Grayscale: Bitcoin's Quantum Risk Is Social, Not Technical Forklog Grayscale: Bitcoin’s Quantum Challenge is More Social than Technical