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Guardians of the galaxy: What does the future of asset management look like? - Portfolio Adviser

Reported by Portfolio-adviser
Dec 4, 2023· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Elevated retirement activity in 2023: A pronounced wave of fund manager retirements occurred throughout the year, including high-profile departures from Abrdn (Hugh Young), Liontrust (James de Uphaugh and Chris Field), Janus Henderson (John Bennett), Murray International (Bruce Stout), Fidelity (Eugene Philalithis and Jeremy Podger), and Jupiter (Richard Buxton), signaling unusual market stress on experienced managers.
  • • Team-based succession planning critical for AUM retention: Fund selection professionals warn that individual "do-it-all" management approaches create significant outflow risk upon retirement, making collaborative team structures essential for product longevity and institutional continuity.
  • • Market fatigue as retirement driver: Investment professionals attribute accelerated retirements to cumulative strain from 15 years of major disruptions—including the 2008 financial crisis, regulatory overhauls, COVID-19, inflation volatility, extreme monetary policy, and political transitions—rather than cyclical retirement patterns.
  • • Regime changes historically correlate with higher retirement rates: Kamal Warraich, head of equity fund research at Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management, notes that management turnover typically spikes during periods of market and policy transition, supporting the 2023 pattern observed.
  • • Manager tenure baseline remains 8.3 years: Morningstar data establishes that the average IA fund manager tenure is 8.3 years with portfolios experiencing more than three manager changes over their lifetime, contextualizing current retirements within longer-term industry dynamics.
Summary
The asset management industry experienced an unusually concentrated wave of senior fund manager retirements throughout 2023, prompting fund selectors to reassess succession planning strategies and organizational resilience. October alone saw three major departures announced: Abrdn's Hugh Young and Liontrust's James de Uphaugh and Chris Field stepped back from portfolio management. Additional exits included Janus Henderson's John Bennett, Murray International's Bruce Stout, Fidelity's Eugene Philalithis and Jeremy Podger, and Jupiter's Richard Buxton—a concentration that extends beyond historical norms.

While manager departures are routine in the industry, with Morningstar data showing average tenure of 8.3 years per IA fund manager and portfolios experiencing more than three manager changes over their lifetime, fund selection professionals identified systemic factors driving accelerated retirements in 2023. Meera Hearnden, investment director at Parmenion, attributed the surge to market exhaustion, noting that "the past 15 years have been dominated by major events such as the global financial crisis, regulation changes, Covid, inflation, extreme monetary policies and change in governments," with fatigue among older managers triggering earlier-than-expected exits.

Kamal Warraich, head of equity fund research at Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management, corroborated this assessment by highlighting that regime changes—both in markets and policy—historically precipitate elevated retirement activity. This pattern aligns with 2023's macroeconomic backdrop of shifting monetary policy and persistent inflation concerns.

Beyond the timing of departures, fund selectors emphasize that succession structures directly impact product stability. A stubborn, individualistic approach to fund management creates material outflow risk when a dominant manager retires, as institutional clients and advisors question continuity and investment philosophy. Team-based management models are increasingly viewed as critical for long-term product success and AUM retention, shifting industry emphasis from star managers to collaborative investment infrastructure. This structural shift carries implications for asset manager valuations, fee compression risk, and competitive positioning among mid-cap and boutique firms reliant on established manager brands.

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Sources

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Portfolio-adviser Guardians of the galaxy: What does the future of asset management look like? - Portfolio Adviser