Key Takeaways
- • Japanese defined-benefit pension funds plan to increase domestic bond allocations, with 10% of 82 surveyed funds planning increases, the highest share since the survey began in 2008, according to a J.P. Morgan Asset Management (JPMAM) survey conducted April to June.
- • Overall allocation to Japanese bonds was essentially flat year-on-year at 14.3%, signaling a shift in planned direction rather than an immediate reallocation.
- • 62% of surveyed funds are reviewing their domestic bond manager structure, with buy-and-hold strategies cited among the top three approaches by 73% of respondents.
- • Planned increases to global bond allocations fell to 29.5% from 30% a year earlier, with high currency hedging costs cited as the primary driver.
- • JPMAM Japan CEO Kaguya Komatsu said pensions are returning to domestic bonds "in a new form" as the BOJ's rate-hike cycle accelerates, and called for a holistic portfolio view.
Summary
Despite the intended shift, the overall allocation to Japanese bonds remained largely unchanged year-on-year at 14.3%. However, the proportion of respondents planning to increase their domestic bond holdings reached 10%, the highest level recorded since the survey's inception in 2008. JPMAM says the funds are strategically returning to the domestic market while leveraging general accounts and buy-and-hold strategies to secure stable yields and manage interest rate risk amid the BOJ's ongoing rate cycle.
The survey also found that 62% of respondents are reviewing their manager structure for domestic bonds. Buy-and-hold strategies are emerging as the primary approach under review, cited among the top three strategies by 73% of respondents.
By contrast, the share of respondents planning to increase allocations to global bonds declined to 29.5% from 30% last year, primarily due to high hedging costs.
Kaguya Komatsu, chief executive officer of JPMAM Japan, said that "as the BOJ's rate hike cycle accelerates, defined-benefit pensions are returning to the domestic bond market in a new form." She added that a holistic view of the overall portfolio will become increasingly important, encompassing effective use of domestic bonds, careful management of currency hedging costs, and selective allocation across alternative strategies.
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