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New bitcoin exchange-traded funds: Can the cryptocurrency break the $100,000 ceiling?

Reported by English
Jan 12, 2024· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • The SEC approved spot bitcoin ETFs, allowing asset managers BlackRock, Fidelity, ARK Investment, Invesco, WisdomTree, Bitwise Asset Management, Valkyrie and four others to begin listing the funds from Thursday, according to EL PAÍS.
  • • Bitcoin traded above $46,000 (€41,800) at the time of the report, with only a muted reaction to the approval in the past day.
  • • Bloomberg Intelligence estimates the spot bitcoin ETF market could reach $100 billion (€91.2 billion) in a short time.
  • • SEC Chairman Gary Gensler stressed the approval was confined to bitcoin as a non-security commodity and should not signal willingness to adopt listing standards for crypto asset securities.
  • • The approval stems from an August Court of Appeals ruling enabling the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to convert into a bitcoin ETF, which the SEC chose not to appeal.
Summary
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has approved spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds, a development that EL PAÍS describes as a new milestone for the cryptocurrency industry. Asset managers BlackRock, Fidelity, ARK Investment, Invesco, WisdomTree, Bitwise Asset Management, Valkyrie and four others are able to begin listing the funds from Thursday. The approval adds to a rally in bitcoin that began in October of the prior year, with the price remaining above $46,000 (€41,800) at the time of reporting.

Bloomberg Intelligence estimates the market for these products could reach $100 billion (€91.2 billion) in a short time. Market reaction so far has been cautious, with bitcoin barely moving in the past day. Some analysts nonetheless see the asset surpassing $100,000 this year; Eric Demuth, co-founder and CEO of the Bitpanda exchange, called that outcome "a real possibility."

The funds give investors bitcoin exposure without buying or selling the cryptocurrency directly. Per the article, the spot ETF tracks the digital asset's price, and the vehicle offers the familiar advantages of ETFs, including diversification, liquidity and transparency. Oliver Wyman, which the article cites, describes ETFs as the most disruptive trend in asset management in the last 20 years, with over $6.7 trillion invested through such instruments. Costs, including ETF fees, remain a drawback relative to direct ownership, and fund holders cannot use the holdings for everyday payments.

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler was explicit about the limits of the decision: "Today's action by the Commission is confined to ETFs on a commodity that is not a security, bitcoin. It should in no way indicate the Commission's willingness to adopt listing standards for crypto asset securities." The article notes the approval followed an August Court of Appeals ruling allowing the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to be converted into a bitcoin ETF, which the SEC declined to appeal. The article stresses this should not be read as a broader shift in Washington's stance, noting the SEC's enforcement-led approach over the past year, including heavy fines that affected Binance, and the absence of comprehensive U.S. crypto legislation in contrast to the EU's MiCA framework.

A JP Morgan report published in November, cited by the article, argues the new funds are more likely to reorganize existing crypto investments than attract new money, and that the approval does not translate into regulatory relief. Spain's National Securities Market Commission warned that cryptocurrency prices carry a high speculative component that may involve a total loss of investment. Industry figures welcomed the decision: Javier García de la Torre, director of Binance Spain and Portugal, said it reflects "a new level of acceptance, maturity and generalization of the crypto market." Demuth described ETFs as "a key tool for institutions and large banks in the United States," and pointed to bitcoin's halving in mid-April and possible interest rate cuts as factors that could lead to a six-figure price over the long term.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

English New bitcoin exchange-traded funds: Can the cryptocurrency break the $100,000 ceiling?