Key Takeaways
- • Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness LP liquidated its entire public equity portfolio (long and short positions) to a single buyer following margin pressure from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Bank of America during the July 2026 AI market selloff.
- • The $20–24 billion fund had generated approximately 439% returns after fees through June 30, 2026, but operated with leverage as high as 4x concentrated on AI infrastructure plays including Bloom Energy, CoreWeave, Nebius, Lumentum, and Coherent.
- • Margin calls forced the fund to unwind positions across both long bets on AI infrastructure and short positions against software companies such as Adobe, which moved adversely during the rout.
- • Aschenbrenner signaled confidence in market conditions via a July 24 investor letter characterizing the selloff as "one of the best buying opportunities since early 2025" and announced readiness to accept new capital starting August 1.
- • The fund retains private equity holdings, including a stake in Anthropic, which it has been marketing to raise liquidity in the wake of the public equity liquidation.
Summary
The fund's performance prior to the July rout was extraordinary. Managing between $20 billion and $24 billion in assets, Situational Awareness generated approximately 439% returns after fees in the first half of 2026. The fund had concentrated its exposure across the AI infrastructure stack, running leverage as high as 4x on positions in companies including Bloom Energy, CoreWeave, Nebius, Lumentum, and Coherent. Additionally, the fund maintained short positions against software companies such as Adobe. When the July AI selloff accelerated, both the long positions in hardware and infrastructure stocks and the short positions moved sharply against the fund, triggering margin calls from its prime brokers.
Despite the forced liquidation of public holdings, Aschenbrenner maintained a constructive posture toward market conditions. In a July 24 letter to investors, he characterized the selloff as "one of the best buying opportunities since early 2025" and signaled that the fund would be open to accepting new capital beginning August 1. This messaging suggests the fund manager viewed the market correction as temporary and sought to reposition for future gains.
Situational Awareness retains meaningful private equity stakes that survived the public equity liquidation, most notably a position in Anthropic, the AI research company. The fund has been actively marketing this private holding to raise liquidity and support its operations following the July disruption. The combination of forced public equity deleveraging and efforts to monetize private positions reflects the fund's effort to stabilize its balance sheet while positioning for the next phase of AI market development.
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