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Average Hedge Fund Return: Decade-by-Decade History

Reported by Hedgefundalpha
Jul 24, 2024· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Average hedge fund annual returns have declined across decades, from an estimated 15%-20% in the 1980s and 1990s to 8%-12% in the 2000s, 5%-8% in the 2010s, and 6.4% in 2023, according to the article.
  • • The article reports that the average hedge fund returned 11.8% in 2020, 10.3% in 2021, and -4.25% in 2022, with macro-oriented funds the only clear winners that year at 9.31%.
  • • In 2023, Coatue Management, led by Philippe Laffont, gained 21.5%, while long/short equity funds led the group ahead of long-biased and event-driven strategies.
  • • Over the 1990s, hedge funds averaged 14.2% annual gains while the S&P 500 delivered 18.8%, per the article.
  • • Renaissance Technologies' Medallion Fund, often cited at above 30% annual gains, stands out as a top performer across decades.
Summary
An article on Hedge Fund Alpha examines the historical average annual return of hedge funds across decades, framing the industry's returns as having declined steadily since the 1980s. The article states that hedge funds averaged 15%-20% annual returns during the 1980s and 1990s, falling to 8%-12% in the 2000s and 5%-8% in the following decade. It cites an average return of 6.4% for 2023.

In the 1980s, the article credits macro and short-selling strategies with generating above-average returns during a recovery from 1970s stagflation, despite volatility including the 1987 crash. It names George Soros's global macro strategy, Bruce Kovner's Caxton Associates, and Julian Robertson's Tiger Management, which the article says grew from $8 million in 1980 to $7.2 billion in 1996. The 1990s brought quantitative trading, led by James Simons and Renaissance Technologies. The article reports hedge fund gains of 14.2% for the decade versus 18.8% for the S&P 500, with standout performers including Renaissance, Soros Fund Management, and Tudor Investment Corporation, which gained 87.4% in 1990.

The article describes the 2000s as marked by the dot-com bust, the 9/11 attacks, and the housing bubble and Global Financial Crisis, with returns falling to high single digits or low teens. It cites Warren Buffett and Carl Icahn as strong performers. For the 2010s, it highlights Renaissance's Medallion Fund, Bridgewater Associates' 10.4% annual gains since inception with three losing years, and D.E. Shaw's composite fund.

For the 2020s, the article notes that COVID-19 volatility hurt long-focused strategies while global macro and quantitative funds fared better. It reports average returns of 11.8% in 2020, 10.3% in 2021, and -4.25% in 2022, and 6.4% in 2023, when Coatue Management gained 21.5%. The article also points to regulatory tightening after the GFC and the growing role of crypto-focused managers such as Pantera Capital and Multicoin Capital. The piece is an educational overview and does not cite a primary data source for its return series.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Hedgefundalpha Average Hedge Fund Return: Decade-by-Decade History