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China and Japan sell, hedge funds buy: Has the U.S. Treasury risk-free, low-return formula broken down?

Reported by Opalesque
Oct 29, 2026· 1 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • China cut its US Treasury holdings to $590.7bn at the end of August, the lowest level since 2008.
  • • Japan's Treasury holdings fell for a fourth straight month to $1.07tn, likely to fund intervention to support the yen.
  • • US-registered hedge funds increased their net Treasury holdings from $102.8bn at the prior reporting point.
  • • The shift suggests official foreign buyers are stepping back while leveraged US investors take up the slack.
Summary
China reduced its US Treasury holdings to $590.7bn at the end of August, its lowest position since 2008, according to the primary source. Japan's holdings declined for a fourth consecutive month, falling to $1.07tn. The source attributes the Japanese selling, at least in part, to funding currency intervention aimed at supporting the yen.

Over the same period, US-registered hedge funds raised their net Treasury holdings from $102.8bn at the prior reporting point. The divergence between sellers among major foreign official holders and buyers among leveraged domestic investors raises the question, posed by the article, of whether the traditional view of Treasuries as a risk-free, low-return asset still holds.

The source article frames this as a question rather than a conclusion. Institutional allocators tracking sovereign demand for US duration should note the reduced official-sector bid and the growing role of hedge funds in the Treasury market.

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Sources

1 outlet

AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Opalesque China and Japan sell, hedge funds buy: Has the U.S. Treasury risk-free, low-return formula broken down?