Key Takeaways
- • DBi co-founder and managing member Andrew Beer argues that managed futures, historically available only through hedge funds, may offer a better diversifier than bonds in a 60/40 portfolio, citing bonds as "dead money" for the entire decade (per CNBC's "ETF Edge").
- • Beer's iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF) was up almost 19% year to date as of Thursday's close, according to FactSet data cited by CNBC.
- • Beer says managed futures offer low correlation to both stocks and bonds and can perform in crises, with the ability to go long and short across global markets to position early against volatile events.
- • NovaDius Wealth Management president Nate Geraci disagrees that alternatives should replace bonds, saying alternatives fit within a diversified sleeve alongside stocks and bonds.
- • Geraci notes managed futures ETFs can outperform in volatile markets but may also underperform for extended periods, requiring a long-term horizon.
Summary
Beer's rationale rests on the strategy's ability to take long and short positions across global markets, allowing managers to position early against turbulent events. He stated that investors need an allocation with low correlation to both stocks and bonds that performs during crises, adding that it is "very, very hard to find a better hedge fund strategy than managed futures" for that purpose. Beer helps manage the iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF), which the firm describes as replicating the performance of leading managed futures hedge funds in a low-cost, liquid ETF. According to FactSet data, the fund was up almost 19% year to date as of Thursday's close.
Nate Geraci, president of NovaDius Wealth Management and ETF Institute co-founder, offered a more measured view. He described fixed income as "the most challenging area in investing right now" but argued that alternatives belong in the sleeve of a well-diversified portfolio that still includes bonds. Geraci cautioned that managed futures ETFs can outperform in volatile markets but may also experience periods of underperformance, requiring investors to understand how such strategies interact with the rest of their portfolio. "To me it's just a balance. It's all about diversification," he said.
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