Key Takeaways
- • Institutional investment in hedge funds and hedge funds of funds slowed to $9.2 billion in 2019, representing an 8.5% decline compared to 2018, signaling continued caution among allocators despite broader market recovery.
- • Full and partial redemptions dropped 25% in 2019, suggesting investors shifted focus toward renegotiating fund terms and strategies rather than exiting positions entirely, indicating stabilization in investor sentiment despite modest inflows.
- • Hedge fund performance rebounded in absolute terms during 2019, but substantially lagged the S&P 500's 32% return, highlighting persistent underperformance relative to passive equity benchmarks that continues to pressure allocator confidence.
- • Macro hedge funds experienced net outflows of $18.61 billion throughout 2019, representing one of the few strategies with consistent redemption pressure, while other strategy types demonstrated relative resilience.
- • The decline in both new investment and redemptions reflects a market in transition, where institutional investors adopted a more cautious stance toward hedge fund commitments while simultaneously reducing their exit activity.
Summary
The redemption landscape provided a more encouraging signal for fund managers. Full and partial redemptions declined 25% in 2019 compared to the prior year, a significant improvement that suggested investors had moved beyond indiscriminate exit strategies. Rather than liquidating positions, institutional allocators focused efforts on renegotiating fund terms and strategies—a posture indicating selective engagement rather than loss of faith in the hedge fund model itself. This dynamic was confirmed by market observers, including Canterbury Consulting's Stuart Blair, who noted that major clients had not issued redemption requests, suggesting institutional conviction remained intact among core constituencies.
Performance considerations remained a structural headwind for the industry. While hedge funds posted positive returns in 2019 on an absolute basis, the rebound paled in comparison to equity market strength, with the S&P 500 delivering 32% returns for the year. This persistent underperformance gap continued to pressure allocators' cost-benefit analyses and contributed to the modestly negative net investment figure. Macro hedge funds proved particularly vulnerable, experiencing net outflows of $18.61 billion throughout 2019, making them among the few strategies with consistent redemption pressure. Other strategy categories demonstrated relative resilience, though broad-based enthusiasm remained elusive across the institutional marketplace.
The 2019 data ultimately painted a picture of a hedge fund industry navigating a transition period—neither experiencing acute distress nor commanding renewed institutional confidence. The dual decline in new investment and redemptions suggested that investors adopted a "wait and see" posture, maintaining existing commitments while demonstrating caution about fresh capital deployment pending evidence of sustained outperformance relative to equity benchmarks.
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