Key Takeaways
- • Hedge funds declined 1.31% in August 2019, marking the first negative monthly return since July 2006, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc. (HFR), while alternative data from Lipper showed a more modest 0.20% decline for the same period.
- • Emerging Markets, Fixed Income, and Macro strategies led performance declines; Latin America and Russia/Eastern Europe hedge funds fell 2.93% and 3.89% respectively, while Fixed Income: High Yield dropped 1.97%.
- • Short Selling strategies posted their third consecutive positive month with a 1.29% gain, bringing cumulative three-month returns to approximately 11% following ten consecutive months of negative performance.
- • Industry assets under management increased by $16.8 billion to a record $1.76 trillion as of end-July 2019, indicating continued investor capital inflows despite August performance headwinds and subprime mortgage market volatility.
- • Macro and commodity trading strategies underperformed significantly, with Commodity Trading Adviser strategies and discretionary macro funds declining sharply amid broader market turbulence.
Summary
Strategy-specific performance revealed significant divergence across the hedge fund landscape. Emerging Markets represented the weakest performing category despite isolated strength in China-focused strategies. Latin America and Russia/Eastern Europe funds posted particularly severe declines of 2.93% and 3.89% respectively. Fixed Income strategies also deteriorated, with Fixed Income: Diversified falling 1.55% and Fixed Income: High Yield declining 1.97%. Macro strategies dropped 2.18%, driven by weakness in Commodity Trading Adviser strategies and discretionary macro implementations.
A notable bright spot emerged in Short Selling strategies, which gained 1.29% in August to mark their third consecutive month of positive returns. This performance capped an approximately 11% cumulative three-month gain, reversing a concerning streak of ten consecutive months of losses that had weighed on the strategy throughout 2019.
Despite August's performance challenges, the hedge fund industry demonstrated underlying resilience with continued capital inflows. Industry assets under management increased by $16.8 billion at the end of July, reaching a record $1.76 trillion. HFR President Ken Heinz noted that while increased volatility during August was associated with subprime mortgage market collapse, quantifying the precise impact of mortgage exposures on fund performance remained difficult due to the complexity of underlying risk factors.
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