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Hindenburg Research blasts Carl Icahn’s hedge fund as ‘Ponzi-like’ in latest short-seller campaign - New York Post

Reported by Nypost
May 2, 2023· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Hindenburg Research disclosed a short position on Icahn Enterprises (IEP) and alleged the holding company operates a "Ponzi-like economic structure" by using new investor capital to fund dividends to existing investors, despite years of negative investment performance.
  • • Hindenburg claims IEP's asset valuations are inflated by 75%, with the stock trading at a 218% premium to its last reported net asset value (NAV)—vastly higher than comparable hedge funds including Third Point and Pershing Square, which trade at discounts to NAV.
  • • IEP's current 15% dividend yield, among the highest on Wall Street, is allegedly unsupported by underlying cash flow and investment returns, with the firm raising dividends consistently despite deteriorating performance to attract retail investors.
  • • The allegation mirrors Hindenburg's previous high-profile short campaigns against Indian billionaire Gautam Adani and electric-vehicle company Nikola, establishing the firm's track record as a consequential activist short-seller capable of moving markets.
Summary
Short-seller Hindenburg Research initiated a major campaign against Carl Icahn's hedge fund on May 2, 2023, alleging fundamental structural defects in how Icahn Enterprises (IEP) maintains valuations and funds investor returns. The research firm, known for previous investigations into Gautam Adani and Nikola, disclosed it had taken a short position on IEP and claimed to have "uncovered clear evidence" of systematically inflated asset valuations within the holding company.

Central to Hindenburg's case is the characterization of IEP's dividend structure as unsustainable. The firm highlighted that IEP's current 15% dividend yield ranks among the richest on Wall Street, yet contended it "is entirely unsupported by IEP's cash flow and investment performance, which has been negative for years." Hindenburg alleged that Icahn has perpetuated this model by continuously raising dividends despite deteriorating underlying performance, effectively using capital from new investors to pay distributions to existing shareholders—the defining mechanism of a Ponzi scheme. As Hindenburg stated in its report: "Icahn has been using money taken in from new investors to pay out dividends to old investors."

The valuation critique centers on a claimed 75% inflation of IEP's asset valuations and a 218% premium to the firm's last reported net asset value (NAV). Hindenburg positioned this as "vastly higher than all comparables," noting that major hedge funds including Dan Loeb's Third Point and Bill Ackman's Pershing Square trade at discounts to NAV, making IEP's valuation multiples structurally anomalous within the industry.

The allegations target 87-year-old Carl Icahn's business model at a moment when the firm has become increasingly dependent on retail investor capital to sustain high distribution levels. The New York Post noted it could not independently verify Hindenburg's claims. The report's publication represents a significant challenge to one of Wall Street's most prominent corporate raiders and reflects Hindenburg's established capability to generate market impact through detailed activist short research.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Nypost Hindenburg Research blasts Carl Icahn’s hedge fund as ‘Ponzi-like’ in latest short-seller campaign - New York Post