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Total return reinsurers head down different paths

Reported by Theinsurer
Sep 5, 2023· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Harrington Re, backed by Axis and Blackstone, is exploring strategic alternatives including a potential IPO or sale to legacy insurance players, with an internal liquidity deadline targeting early 2024.
  • • The total return reinsurer cohort—six Bermudian vehicles launched between 2012 and 2016—has diverged significantly in execution, with contrasting business models now producing uneven results across the class.
  • • Harrington Re represents the sponsor-outsourcing model where Axis manages underwriting and Blackstone manages investments, differing from peers like Third Point Re and Greenlight Re that retained in-house underwriting capabilities.
  • • The original total return reinsurer thesis centered on generating superior returns by deploying underwriting float into aggressive investment strategies rather than following traditional carrier conservative approaches.
  • • Strategic divergence among the cohort reflects fundamental differences in capital structure, governance, and operational independence that have become increasingly material to competitive positioning and exit valuations.
Summary
The total return reinsurance sector, which emerged as a distinct asset class between 2012 and 2016, is experiencing a period of strategic realignment exemplified by Harrington Re's consideration of potential buyers and liquidity events. According to The Insurer, Harrington Re—a Bermudian-domiciled vehicle sponsored by Axis and Blackstone—is fielding interest from legacy insurance industry players, though no formal sales process has been initiated. The vehicle operates under an internal deadline tied to founding investor agreements requiring evaluation of an IPO or other liquidity mechanism in early 2024.

This development underscores a broader pattern of divergence within a cohort of six Bermudian total return reinsurers that adopted broadly similar foundational strategies upon inception. The original thesis unified the group: capture underwriting float generated by the reinsurance business and deploy it into more aggressive investment strategies than traditional carriers employ, thereby generating superior total returns. However, the vehicles adopted materially different operational structures that have since produced contrasting outcomes.

The structural split divides roughly into two camps. One group—including Third Point Re, Hamilton, and Fidelis—followed the Greenlight Re model of maintaining in-house underwriting capability while outsourcing investment management to external specialists. A second cohort, exemplified by Harrington Re, consisted of vehicles launched by carrier investors that outsourced both underwriting and investment functions to their sponsors. In Harrington Re's case, Axis manages the underwriting operation while Blackstone oversees the investment portfolio.

These operational differences have created distinct risk-return profiles and governance dynamics. The outsourced dual-management model places greater reliance on sponsor expertise and alignment, while the in-house underwriting model preserves greater operational independence and internal accountability for underwriting results. As Greenlight Re itself undergoes transformation, questions about the viability and scalability of each approach have intensified, prompting strategic reassessment among participants.

Harrington Re's exploration of liquidity alternatives reflects both the maturation of the total return reinsurance asset class and the recognition that initial investment thesis assumptions may require recalibration or exit. The activity suggests that legacy carriers may view acquisition as a path to deploying capital into alternative yield strategies, while sponsors may face return thresholds or time-bound capital deployment obligations necessitating exit or restructuring discussions.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Theinsurer Total return reinsurers head down different paths