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US to probe near-collapse of AI Prophet's hedge fund, which once saw 439% gain | It sold most of its stock holdings to Citadel | Inshorts

Reported by Inshorts
Aug 25, 2026· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has subpoenaed major financial institutions—Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America—regarding their business relationships with Situational Awareness, the AI-focused hedge fund founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner.
  • • Situational Awareness generated extraordinary returns of 439% in the first six months of 2026 before experiencing severe losses in AI infrastructure and semiconductor stocks, collapsing from approximately $45 billion in assets to around $10 billion.
  • • Following mounting July losses, Situational Awareness liquidated most or all of its public equity portfolio to Citadel, which subsequently unwound over 80% of the acquired $35 billion stock book, highlighting the risks of leverage and forced selling in concentrated AI trades.
  • • The fund's implosion occurred within 30 days, representing a two-thirds loss of value and marking a dramatic reversal for what had been one of the most closely watched hedge funds in the AI sector.
Summary
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has initiated a formal investigation into the near-collapse of Situational Awareness, a prominent AI-focused hedge fund founded by Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher. The SEC has subpoenaed major banking counterparties—Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America—according to Reuters, as regulators examine the circumstances surrounding the fund's dramatic decline and potential market impact.

Situational Awareness achieved exceptional performance in early 2026, posting gains of 439% through June before suffering catastrophic losses concentrated in AI infrastructure and semiconductor equities. The fund's assets declined sharply from approximately $45 billion to around $10 billion, representing a two-thirds destruction of value within a 30-day window. This rapid deterioration highlights the leverage and concentration risks embedded in thematic hedge fund strategies during periods of sector-wide volatility.

In response to mounting losses in July, Situational Awareness liquidated substantially all of its public equity holdings to Citadel, Ken Griffin's flagship hedge fund. Citadel subsequently unwound more than 80% of the approximately $35 billion stock portfolio it had acquired from Aschenbrenner's fund. Market observers have characterized this episode not primarily as an artificial intelligence story but rather as a duration and leverage story, underscoring how forced selling mechanisms can amplify losses across highly correlated portfolios and potentially create systemic trading dynamics affecting broader market participants.

The SEC's investigation signals regulatory scrutiny into the risk management practices, leverage utilization, and counterparty credit arrangements that enabled the fund's rapid accumulation and subsequent liquidation of concentrated positions. The episode provides a cautionary case study for the institutional investment community regarding the operational and market risks inherent in highly leveraged, thematically concentrated hedge fund structures, particularly during periods of sector rotation or liquidity stress.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Inshorts US to probe near-collapse of AI Prophet's hedge fund, which once saw 439% gain | It sold most of its stock holdings to Citadel | Inshorts