Key Takeaways
- • Systematic trend funds delivered the strongest performance across 109 Morningstar categories in April 2022, rising 4.9% while equities and bonds suffered steep declines amid inflation and rate concerns.
- • Only four of 109 Morningstar Categories posted positive returns in April 2022—the worst monthly showing since March 2020—with systematic trend and equity market neutral (up 3.5%) representing the two alternatives categories in positive territory.
- • Currency and commodity price trends drove systematic trend fund outperformance, particularly sustained weakness in the Japanese yen and strength in the U.S. dollar across major currency pairs.
- • AQR Managed Futures Strategy HV (QMHIX), rated Neutral by Morningstar, ranked second percentile among category peers, while Bronze-rated AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy (ASFYX) outperformed 85% of category competitors.
- • Systematic trend funds capitalize on multi-month persistent price trends by trading long and short positions across liquid global futures, options, swaps, and foreign-exchange contracts spanning equities, fixed income, commodities, and currencies.
Summary
Systematic trend funds employ quantitative, rule-based approaches that identify and capitalize on persistent price trends by trading long and short positions across a diversified set of liquid instruments. These strategies operate across geographies and asset classes—equities, fixed income, commodities, and currencies—using futures, options, swaps, and foreign-exchange contracts. The strategy's architecture is designed to profit during trending environments while limiting exposure during choppy, range-bound markets.
April's strong performance for systematic trend funds was driven primarily by sustained commodity and currency trends, according to Morningstar senior analyst Bobby Blue. Currency movements were particularly influential, with the Japanese yen recording consistent weakness while the U.S. dollar strengthened against virtually all major currency pairs. These multi-month directional trends created an optimal environment for trend-following algorithms to generate alpha through both long and short positioning.
Among analyst-covered funds, AQR Managed Futures Strategy HV (QMHIX), carrying a Neutral Morningstar Analyst Rating, delivered top-quartile results, finishing in the second percentile of the systematic trend category. AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy (ASFYX), which holds a Bronze rating, also performed strongly by outpacing 85% of category peers. Both examples demonstrate that systematic trend strategies maintained significant alpha generation during April's market dislocations.
The outperformance of systematic trend funds during April's equity and fixed-income downturn highlights the diversification benefits and relative resilience of alternatives-based strategies during periods of macro uncertainty. Alongside equity market neutral funds (up 3.5%), trend-following approaches provided investors with meaningful downside protection and positive absolute returns when traditional asset classes deteriorated sharply.
Go deeper than the headline
Research every firm in this story, track the ones that matter and get the daily briefing — free for 7 days.