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Breakingviews - COMMENTARY: Blue Owl picks private credit’s path of pain

Reported by Reuters
Feb 20, 2026· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Blue Owl plans to sell $1.4 billion of loans and wind down its troubled retail fund Blue Owl Capital Corporation II (OBDC II), which had $1.7 billion of investments as of its last quarterly filing.
  • • The loan sales, including $600 million from OBDC II, will fund an immediate payout of 30% of the vehicle's net worth, with further distributions to follow, and were executed at current marks.
  • • Publicly traded private credit vehicles have fallen well below reported asset values, while retail investors in unlisted funds can still redeem quarterly at stated worth, up to a 5% cap.
  • • Blue Owl previously attempted to merge OBDC II into a listed sibling in 2025, then retreated and restricted redemptions instead.
  • • Breakingviews draws a parallel to the 2022 non-traded REIT turmoil, when unlisted REIT capital raised fell from over $12 billion in Q4 2021 to $1.5 billion per quarter in the first three quarters of 2025.
Summary
Blue Owl Capital is facing mounting pressure in private credit, citing slipping loan yields, concerns that artificial intelligence will erode indebted software companies, and worries about overheated lending, according to Reuters Breakingviews. The non-bank lender's response is to sell $1.4 billion of loans and wind down Blue Owl Capital Corporation II (OBDC II), an unlisted retail vehicle that had $1.7 billion of investments as of its last quarterly filing and had long been scheduled for wind-down.

The core problem, per the commentary, is that the market value of publicly traded loan vehicles has fallen far below their reported asset values. Investors in private entities such as OBDC II can still make quarterly withdrawals at the fund's stated worth, up to a 5% cap. Blue Owl had attempted to merge OBDC II into a listed sibling last year, but retreated from that plan and restricted redemptions instead.

On Wednesday, Blue Owl announced the sale of loans from three funds, including $600 million from OBDC II. The cash will fund an immediate payout of 30% of the vehicle's worth, with further distributions to follow. Breakingviews notes that the loans, including software company debt, were sold at current marks, which it describes as the most important detail. While an orderly liquidation is probably the best available outcome, the commentary argues it is only partly reassuring. Shares of major private credit managers fell sharply on Thursday, and Blue Owl's listed loan companies generated revenue equivalent to a fifth of its management fees in 2024, underscoring the importance of retail credit vehicles.

Breakingviews draws a parallel to the 2022 turmoil in non-traded real estate investment trusts, when financial shocks fuelled suspicions that private appraisals lagged market valuations. Blackstone's BREIT was forced to restrict withdrawals then, but has since regained net inflows. Other unlisted REITs did not recover; capital raised fell from a peak of over $12 billion in Q4 2021 to $1.5 billion in each of the first three quarters of 2025, according to Blue Vault data. The author notes that private credit is a sprawling market whose fate does not depend on a few funds, but that an ominous precedent is forming for retail-focused buyout managers.

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Sources

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Reuters Breakingviews - COMMENTARY: Blue Owl picks private credit’s path of pain