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The Case Against Betting Everything on Private Equity - International Policy Digest

Reported by Intpolicydigest
Nov 3, 2026· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Governments are steering savers and pensions toward private markets: the U.S. directed its Department of Labor to allow private equity and digital assets within pensions, and seventeen of the largest UK workplace pension providers pledged under the Mansion House Accord to allocate at least 10% of default funds to private markets by 2030.
  • • Lord Jonathan Kestenbaum, former director at Pershing Square Holdings and former COO of J Rothschild Capital Management, argues that no single investment model can succeed alone and that economies need multiple pools of capital with different risk profiles, time horizons and return profiles.
  • • JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has repeatedly warned of hidden problems in private credit following the collapses of Tricolor and First Brands, and the market has never been tested by a severe downturn.
  • • The Financial Stability Board puts the private credit market at $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion, per the article.
  • • The article concludes that private equity is not inherently better than public markets, and that governments should not favor one asset class but ensure each is accessible with clear risk disclosure.
Summary
International Policy Digest publishes a perspective arguing against concentrating capital in private equity at the expense of public markets. The piece notes that investors are increasingly turning to private equity for returns beyond traditional public markets, and that governments are encouraging retail investors, savers, pension funds and treasuries to allocate to private equity and private credit. It cites the U.S. decision to direct the Department of Labor to permit private equity and digital assets within pensions, and the UK Mansion House Accord, under which seventeen of the largest workplace pension providers pledged to allocate at least 10% of default funds to private markets by 2030.

The article frames the debate against volatility in public markets, including speculation tied to conflicts in Iran and Ukraine, rising oil prices, concerns about a possible AI bubble, and BlackRock's Investment Institute downgrade of its rating on U.S. equities. Jamie Dimon has repeatedly warned about hidden problems in private credit following the collapses of Tricolor and First Brands. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, in his 2025 annual letter, argued that the traditional 60/40 stock-and-bond allocation is no longer sufficient for diversification and proposed a 50/30/20 split among stocks, bonds and private investments.

Lord Kestenbaum's views form the article's central argument. Drawing on his experience at Pershing Square Holdings, which focused exclusively on public stocks during his board tenure, and at RIT Capital Partners, where he helped pursue a multi-asset-class mandate spanning public stocks, private equity, venture capital, credit funds and real assets, he argues for an ecosystem of diverse capital pools. The article cites the Financial Stability Board's estimate that private credit stands at $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion, and notes that retail access is growing even though the market has not been tested by a severe downturn.

The article acknowledges trade-offs. Private markets require patience, involve less transparent valuations and have historically been accessible mainly to institutional investors, while listed equities trade daily but remain exposed to sentiment shocks. It points to record green bond issuance in the second quarter of 2026 according to Moody's, and to the £6.25 billion green gilt announced in March as an example of reliable public financing. The article concludes that choosing between private and public markets requires weighing risk profile, investor appetite, time horizon and diversification, and that policymakers should ensure each asset class is accessible and accompanied by clear explanations of its risks.

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Sources

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Intpolicydigest The Case Against Betting Everything on Private Equity - International Policy Digest