Key Takeaways
- • Legg Mason's Head of Business Development Tom Hoops argues that private equity real estate funds can give high-net-worth investors income and diversification as U.S. equities reach historical highs and many bonds offer minimal returns.
- • Real estate posted a 9.7 percent 20-year annualized total return through Q2 2017, according to the NCREIF Property Index (NPI), a figure that includes the global financial crisis and subsequent slump.
- • Institutional allocations to commercial real estate rose from 3.7 percent in 1990 to 9.9 percent by 2016, lifting the NPI's market value 16-fold to $525 billion from $33 billion.
- • The article recommends selecting proven active managers with substantial core real estate experience across multiple market cycles, citing a wide performance gap between top- and bottom-quartile fund managers.
- • Some of these funds offer monthly or quarterly liquidity, though they generally require a long-term commitment from investors.
Summary
The article cites a 9.7 percent 20-year annualized total return for real estate as of Q2 2017, based on the NCREIF Property Index. The article notes this record spans the global financial crisis and the subsequent real estate slump. Hoops lists five reasons for investing: risk-adjusted returns that typically fall between equities and fixed income; income potential, with rents that can be adjusted to keep pace with inflation; diversification, since real estate has shown low or negative correlation with stocks and bonds; deeper, more liquid markets; and supply-demand fundamentals that he describes as favorable as economic indicators improve.
Institutional investors have nearly tripled their commercial real estate allocations, from 3.7 percent in 1990 to 9.9 percent in 2016, mostly through semi-liquid, open-end core funds. The NPI's market value has grown 16 times to $525 billion, and its constituent properties now number more than 7,300, up from fewer than 1,700.
Hoops cautions that individual investors should not buy these products blindly. Assessing a fund requires detailed knowledge of its underlying properties, local market conditions, and real estate financing. He notes a large performance gap between top- and bottom-quartile managers, historically and recently, and recommends proven active managers with substantial core real estate experience across multiple market cycles. He also says the U.S. has a growing economy and the largest liquid real estate market in the world, with Europe and Asia rebounding. The article is an opinion piece from a firm executive and should be read with that perspective in mind.
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