Key Takeaways
- • Global private equity and venture capital deal value surged 24.7% year-over-year in 2024 to US$639 billion, driven by rising valuations, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data released January 14, 2025.
- • Deal volume declined 6.5% despite the value increase, signaling fewer but larger transactions; fundraising activity rose 9% to US$283.7 billion but transaction volume fell on that side of the market.
- • 2024 deal values remained substantially below historical peaks—down 13% from 2022 (US$735 billion) and down 45% from 2021 (US$1.17 trillion), indicating the market has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
- • PE and VC transactions reached their highest share of overall M&A activity since 2019 at 17%, with the U.S. and Canada leading by deal value and Europe leading by deal volume.
- • The energy sector experienced the most dramatic growth with a sixfold year-over-year increase in PE deals totaling US$346 million, primarily driven by increased power demands from artificial intelligence infrastructure; utilities led PE-backed M&A with US$606.4 million in deal value.
Summary
Fundraising activity similarly showed signs of recovery, increasing 9% in value to US$283.7 billion in 2024, though transaction volume on the fundraising side also contracted. These figures, however, mask the magnitude of the decline from prior cycles: 2024 fundraising fell short of 2022 levels (US$415.3 billion) and remained substantially below the US$663.85 billion deployed in 2021. The 2024 deal value of US$639 billion likewise represents a 13% decline from 2022 and a 45% shortfall from 2021's US$1.17 trillion, underscoring that despite the year-over-year recovery, the market has not yet returned to pre-pandemic deployment levels.
One significant market indicator emerged in 2024: PE and VC transactions accounted for 17% of overall M&A activity, marking the highest share since 2019. This metric suggests alternative asset managers are gaining relative prominence within the broader M&A ecosystem. Geographic distribution showed the U.S. and Canada leading by deal value, while Europe dominated by transaction volume, indicating regional variations in deal sizing and strategy.
Sector-level dynamics revealed sharp divergence, with the energy sector posting the most dramatic gains. PE deals in energy totaled US$346 million, representing a sixfold increase year-over-year and likely reflecting investor appetite for infrastructure supporting artificial intelligence's expanding power requirements. The utilities sector emerged as the leading PE-backed M&A category with US$606.4 million in deal value, positioning essential infrastructure as a sustained focus for alternative capital allocators navigating the transition toward AI-driven energy demand.
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